The hybrid exact scheme for the simulation of first-passage times of jump-diffusions with time-dependent thresholds

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Desmettre, Sascha, Khurana, Devika, Meddah, Amira
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Desmettre, Sascha
Khurana, Devika
Meddah, Amira
author_facet Desmettre, Sascha
Khurana, Devika
Meddah, Amira
contents The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a more flexible framework for describing stochastic dynamics. We are interested in the Exact simulation method developed for JD processes with constant thresholds, where the Exact method for pure diffusion is applied between jump intervals. An adaptation of this method to time-dependent thresholds has recently been proposed for a more general stochastic setting. We show that this adaptation can be applied to JD models by establishing a formal correspondence between the two frameworks. A comparative analysis is then performed between the proposed approach and the constant-threshold version in terms of algorithmic structure and computational efficiency. Finally, we show the applicability of the method by predicting neuronal spike times in a JD model driven by two independent Poisson jump mechanisms.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_00155
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The hybrid exact scheme for the simulation of first-passage times of jump-diffusions with time-dependent thresholds
Desmettre, Sascha
Khurana, Devika
Meddah, Amira
Statistical Mechanics
Probability
37M05, 65C20, 60G05, 60H35, 92C20
The first-passage time is a key concept in stochastic modeling, representing the time at which a process first reaches a specified threshold. In this work, we consider a jump-diffusion (JD) model with a time-dependent threshold, providing a more flexible framework for describing stochastic dynamics. We are interested in the Exact simulation method developed for JD processes with constant thresholds, where the Exact method for pure diffusion is applied between jump intervals. An adaptation of this method to time-dependent thresholds has recently been proposed for a more general stochastic setting. We show that this adaptation can be applied to JD models by establishing a formal correspondence between the two frameworks. A comparative analysis is then performed between the proposed approach and the constant-threshold version in terms of algorithmic structure and computational efficiency. Finally, we show the applicability of the method by predicting neuronal spike times in a JD model driven by two independent Poisson jump mechanisms.
title The hybrid exact scheme for the simulation of first-passage times of jump-diffusions with time-dependent thresholds
topic Statistical Mechanics
Probability
37M05, 65C20, 60G05, 60H35, 92C20
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.00155