Confounding Factors in Relating Model Performance to Morphology

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Poelman, Wessel, Bauwens, Thomas, de Lhoneux, Miryam
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Poelman, Wessel
Bauwens, Thomas
de Lhoneux, Miryam
author_facet Poelman, Wessel
Bauwens, Thomas
de Lhoneux, Miryam
contents The extent to which individual language characteristics influence tokenization and language modeling is an open question. Differences in morphological systems have been suggested as both unimportant and crucial to consider (Cotterell et al., 2018; Gerz et al., 2018a; Park et al., 2021, inter alia). We argue this conflicting evidence is due to confounding factors in experimental setups, making it hard to compare results and draw conclusions. We identify confounding factors in analyses trying to answer the question of whether, and how, morphology relates to language modeling. Next, we re-assess three hypotheses by Arnett & Bergen (2025) for why modeling agglutinative languages results in higher perplexities than fusional languages: they look at morphological alignment of tokenization, tokenization efficiency, and dataset size. We show that each conclusion includes confounding factors. Finally, we introduce token bigram metrics as an intrinsic way to predict the difficulty of causal language modeling, and find that they are gradient proxies for morphological complexity that do not require expert annotation. Ultimately, we outline necessities to reliably answer whether, and how, morphology relates to language modeling.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_01380
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Confounding Factors in Relating Model Performance to Morphology
Poelman, Wessel
Bauwens, Thomas
de Lhoneux, Miryam
Computation and Language
The extent to which individual language characteristics influence tokenization and language modeling is an open question. Differences in morphological systems have been suggested as both unimportant and crucial to consider (Cotterell et al., 2018; Gerz et al., 2018a; Park et al., 2021, inter alia). We argue this conflicting evidence is due to confounding factors in experimental setups, making it hard to compare results and draw conclusions. We identify confounding factors in analyses trying to answer the question of whether, and how, morphology relates to language modeling. Next, we re-assess three hypotheses by Arnett & Bergen (2025) for why modeling agglutinative languages results in higher perplexities than fusional languages: they look at morphological alignment of tokenization, tokenization efficiency, and dataset size. We show that each conclusion includes confounding factors. Finally, we introduce token bigram metrics as an intrinsic way to predict the difficulty of causal language modeling, and find that they are gradient proxies for morphological complexity that do not require expert annotation. Ultimately, we outline necessities to reliably answer whether, and how, morphology relates to language modeling.
title Confounding Factors in Relating Model Performance to Morphology
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.01380