Distributionally robust Expected Shortfall for convex payoffs

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: van Zyl, Gusti
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author van Zyl, Gusti
author_facet van Zyl, Gusti
contents We study distributionally robust Expected Shortfall when the distribution of the underlying is perturbed by a size quantified with optimal transport distance based on the quadratic cost function. In the dual version of the robust expectation problem, which is part of the robest expected shortfall problem, the computation of the so-called $λc$-transform $f^{λc}$ of payoff $f$ is required. We show that under the quadratic cost function there exists a tractable representation of $f^{λc}$, if $f$ is convex. Furthermore, we show that robust expected shortfall can be characterized as the solution of a 2-dimensional minimization problem. We apply these results to obtain a closed-form formula for robust, with respect to the risk-neutral distribution, Expected Shortfall of an unhedged call option, from the point of view of the writer.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_01540
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Distributionally robust Expected Shortfall for convex payoffs
van Zyl, Gusti
Probability
91G10, 62G35
We study distributionally robust Expected Shortfall when the distribution of the underlying is perturbed by a size quantified with optimal transport distance based on the quadratic cost function. In the dual version of the robust expectation problem, which is part of the robest expected shortfall problem, the computation of the so-called $λc$-transform $f^{λc}$ of payoff $f$ is required. We show that under the quadratic cost function there exists a tractable representation of $f^{λc}$, if $f$ is convex. Furthermore, we show that robust expected shortfall can be characterized as the solution of a 2-dimensional minimization problem. We apply these results to obtain a closed-form formula for robust, with respect to the risk-neutral distribution, Expected Shortfall of an unhedged call option, from the point of view of the writer.
title Distributionally robust Expected Shortfall for convex payoffs
topic Probability
91G10, 62G35
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.01540