Dynamic Estimates of Displacement in Disaster Regions: A Policy-driven framework triangulating data

Fuente: arXiv
Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pietrostefani, Elisabetta, Mason, Matt, Iradukunda, Rodgers, Tran-Jones, Hong, Loktieva, Iryna, Rowe, Francisco
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866915650355593216
author Pietrostefani, Elisabetta
Mason, Matt
Iradukunda, Rodgers
Tran-Jones, Hong
Loktieva, Iryna
Rowe, Francisco
author_facet Pietrostefani, Elisabetta
Mason, Matt
Iradukunda, Rodgers
Tran-Jones, Hong
Loktieva, Iryna
Rowe, Francisco
contents While traditional data systems remain fundamental to humanitarian response, they often lack the real-time responsiveness and spatial precision needed to capture increasingly complex patterns of displacement. Internal displacement reached an unprecedented 83.4 million people by the end of 2024, underscoring the urgent need for innovative, data driven approaches to monitor and understand population movements. This report examines how integrating traditional data sources with emerging digital trace data, such as mobile phone GPS and social media activity, can enhance the accuracy, responsiveness, and granularity of displacement monitoring. Drawing on lessons from recent crises, including the escalation of the war in Ukraine and the 2022 floods in Pakistan, the report presents a structured pilot effort that tests the triangulation of multiple data streams to produce more robust and reliable displacement estimates. Statistical indicators derived from digital trace data are benchmarked against the International Organisation for Migration, Displacement Tracking Matrix datasets, to assess their validity, transparency, and scalability. The findings demonstrate how triangulated data approaches can deliver real-time, high-resolution insights into population movements, improving humanitarian resource allocation and intervention planning. The report includes a scalable framework for crisis monitoring that leverages digital innovation to strengthen humanitarian data systems and support evidence-based decision-making in complex emergencies.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_01955
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Dynamic Estimates of Displacement in Disaster Regions: A Policy-driven framework triangulating data
Pietrostefani, Elisabetta
Mason, Matt
Iradukunda, Rodgers
Tran-Jones, Hong
Loktieva, Iryna
Rowe, Francisco
Physics and Society
Emerging Technologies
While traditional data systems remain fundamental to humanitarian response, they often lack the real-time responsiveness and spatial precision needed to capture increasingly complex patterns of displacement. Internal displacement reached an unprecedented 83.4 million people by the end of 2024, underscoring the urgent need for innovative, data driven approaches to monitor and understand population movements. This report examines how integrating traditional data sources with emerging digital trace data, such as mobile phone GPS and social media activity, can enhance the accuracy, responsiveness, and granularity of displacement monitoring. Drawing on lessons from recent crises, including the escalation of the war in Ukraine and the 2022 floods in Pakistan, the report presents a structured pilot effort that tests the triangulation of multiple data streams to produce more robust and reliable displacement estimates. Statistical indicators derived from digital trace data are benchmarked against the International Organisation for Migration, Displacement Tracking Matrix datasets, to assess their validity, transparency, and scalability. The findings demonstrate how triangulated data approaches can deliver real-time, high-resolution insights into population movements, improving humanitarian resource allocation and intervention planning. The report includes a scalable framework for crisis monitoring that leverages digital innovation to strengthen humanitarian data systems and support evidence-based decision-making in complex emergencies.
title Dynamic Estimates of Displacement in Disaster Regions: A Policy-driven framework triangulating data
topic Physics and Society
Emerging Technologies
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.01955