A Theory of Saving under Risk Preference Dynamics
Fuente:
arXiv
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2025
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1866915738920419328 |
|---|---|
| author | Ma, Qingyin Song, Xinxi Toda, Alexis Akira |
| author_facet | Ma, Qingyin Song, Xinxi Toda, Alexis Akira |
| contents | Empirical evidence shows that wealthy households have substantially higher saving rates and markedly lower marginal propensity to consume (MPC) than other groups. Existing theory cannot account for this pattern unless under restrictive assumptions on returns, discounting, and preferences. This paper develops a general theory of optimal savings with preference shocks, allowing risk aversion to vary across states and over time, and shows that incorporating such heterogeneity in risk attitudes fundamentally reshapes the asymptotic dynamics of consumption and saving. In particular, zero asymptotic MPCs (100% asymptotic saving rates) arise under markedly weaker conditions than in existing theory. Strikingly, such outcomes occur whenever there is a positive probability that agents become less risk averse in the future. Therefore, the vanishing MPC emerges as a generic feature rather than a knife-edge result of the optimal savings model, offering a more theoretically robust and empirically consistent account of the saving behavior of wealthy households. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_03142 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | A Theory of Saving under Risk Preference Dynamics Ma, Qingyin Song, Xinxi Toda, Alexis Akira Theoretical Economics Optimization and Control Empirical evidence shows that wealthy households have substantially higher saving rates and markedly lower marginal propensity to consume (MPC) than other groups. Existing theory cannot account for this pattern unless under restrictive assumptions on returns, discounting, and preferences. This paper develops a general theory of optimal savings with preference shocks, allowing risk aversion to vary across states and over time, and shows that incorporating such heterogeneity in risk attitudes fundamentally reshapes the asymptotic dynamics of consumption and saving. In particular, zero asymptotic MPCs (100% asymptotic saving rates) arise under markedly weaker conditions than in existing theory. Strikingly, such outcomes occur whenever there is a positive probability that agents become less risk averse in the future. Therefore, the vanishing MPC emerges as a generic feature rather than a knife-edge result of the optimal savings model, offering a more theoretically robust and empirically consistent account of the saving behavior of wealthy households. |
| title | A Theory of Saving under Risk Preference Dynamics |
| topic | Theoretical Economics Optimization and Control |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03142 |