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Main Authors: Su, Pengcheng, Cheng, Haibo, Wang, Ping
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03213
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author Su, Pengcheng
Cheng, Haibo
Wang, Ping
author_facet Su, Pengcheng
Cheng, Haibo
Wang, Ping
contents The shuffle model, which anonymizes data by randomly permuting user messages, has been widely adopted in both cryptography and differential privacy. In this work, we present the first systematic study of the Bayesian advantage in re-identifying a user's message under the shuffle model. We begin with a basic setting: one sample is drawn from a distribution $P$, and $n - 1$ samples are drawn from a distribution $Q$, after which all $n$ samples are randomly shuffled. We define $β_n(P, Q)$ as the success probability of a Bayes-optimal adversary in identifying the sample from $P$, and define the additive and multiplicative Bayesian advantages as $\mathsf{Adv}_n^{+}(P, Q) = β_n(P,Q) - \frac{1}{n}$ and $\mathsf{Adv}_n^{\times}(P, Q) = n \cdot β_n(P,Q)$, respectively. We derive exact analytical expressions and asymptotic characterizations of $β_n(P, Q)$, along with evaluations in several representative scenarios. Furthermore, we establish (nearly) tight mutual bounds between the additive Bayesian advantage and the total variation distance. Finally, we extend our analysis beyond the basic setting and present, for the first time, an upper bound on the success probability of Bayesian attacks in shuffle differential privacy. Specifically, when the outputs of $n$ users -- each processed through an $\varepsilon$-differentially private local randomizer -- are shuffled, the probability that an attacker successfully re-identifies any target user's message is at most $e^{\varepsilon}/n$.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_03213
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Advantage of Re-Identification Attack in the Shuffle Model
Su, Pengcheng
Cheng, Haibo
Wang, Ping
Cryptography and Security
The shuffle model, which anonymizes data by randomly permuting user messages, has been widely adopted in both cryptography and differential privacy. In this work, we present the first systematic study of the Bayesian advantage in re-identifying a user's message under the shuffle model. We begin with a basic setting: one sample is drawn from a distribution $P$, and $n - 1$ samples are drawn from a distribution $Q$, after which all $n$ samples are randomly shuffled. We define $β_n(P, Q)$ as the success probability of a Bayes-optimal adversary in identifying the sample from $P$, and define the additive and multiplicative Bayesian advantages as $\mathsf{Adv}_n^{+}(P, Q) = β_n(P,Q) - \frac{1}{n}$ and $\mathsf{Adv}_n^{\times}(P, Q) = n \cdot β_n(P,Q)$, respectively. We derive exact analytical expressions and asymptotic characterizations of $β_n(P, Q)$, along with evaluations in several representative scenarios. Furthermore, we establish (nearly) tight mutual bounds between the additive Bayesian advantage and the total variation distance. Finally, we extend our analysis beyond the basic setting and present, for the first time, an upper bound on the success probability of Bayesian attacks in shuffle differential privacy. Specifically, when the outputs of $n$ users -- each processed through an $\varepsilon$-differentially private local randomizer -- are shuffled, the probability that an attacker successfully re-identifies any target user's message is at most $e^{\varepsilon}/n$.
title Bayesian Advantage of Re-Identification Attack in the Shuffle Model
topic Cryptography and Security
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.03213