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Main Authors: VanWyngarden, Madison, Fishbach, Maya, Vijaykumar, Aditya, Guerrero, Alexandra G., Holz, Daniel E.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.04786
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author VanWyngarden, Madison
Fishbach, Maya
Vijaykumar, Aditya
Guerrero, Alexandra G.
Holz, Daniel E.
author_facet VanWyngarden, Madison
Fishbach, Maya
Vijaykumar, Aditya
Guerrero, Alexandra G.
Holz, Daniel E.
contents Gravitational waves (GWs) serve as standard sirens by directly encoding the luminosity distance to their source. When the host galaxy redshift is known, for example, through observation of an electromagnetic (EM) counterpart, GW detections can provide an independent measurement of the Hubble constant, $H_0$. However, even in the absence of an EM counterpart, inferring $H_0$ is possible through the dark siren method. In this approach, every galaxy in the GW localization volume is considered a potential host that contributes to a measurement of $H_0$, with redshift information supplied by galaxy catalogs. Using mock galaxy catalogs, we explore the effect of catalog incompleteness on dark siren measurements of $H_0$. We find that in the case of well-localized GW events, if GW hosts are found in all galaxies with host halo masses $M_h > 2 \times10^{11} M_{\odot}h^{-1}$, catalogs only need to be complete down to the 1% brightest magnitude $M_i < -22.43$ to draw an unbiased, informative posterior on H0. We demonstrate that this is a direct result of the clustering of fainter galaxies around brighter and more massive galaxies. For a mock galaxy catalog without clustering, or for GW localization volumes that are too large, using only the brightest galaxies results in a biased $H_0$ posterior. These results are important for informing future dark siren analyses with LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA as well as next-generation detectors.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_04786
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle How Low Can You Go: Constraining the Effects of Catalog Incompleteness on Dark Siren Cosmology
VanWyngarden, Madison
Fishbach, Maya
Vijaykumar, Aditya
Guerrero, Alexandra G.
Holz, Daniel E.
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
Gravitational waves (GWs) serve as standard sirens by directly encoding the luminosity distance to their source. When the host galaxy redshift is known, for example, through observation of an electromagnetic (EM) counterpart, GW detections can provide an independent measurement of the Hubble constant, $H_0$. However, even in the absence of an EM counterpart, inferring $H_0$ is possible through the dark siren method. In this approach, every galaxy in the GW localization volume is considered a potential host that contributes to a measurement of $H_0$, with redshift information supplied by galaxy catalogs. Using mock galaxy catalogs, we explore the effect of catalog incompleteness on dark siren measurements of $H_0$. We find that in the case of well-localized GW events, if GW hosts are found in all galaxies with host halo masses $M_h > 2 \times10^{11} M_{\odot}h^{-1}$, catalogs only need to be complete down to the 1% brightest magnitude $M_i < -22.43$ to draw an unbiased, informative posterior on H0. We demonstrate that this is a direct result of the clustering of fainter galaxies around brighter and more massive galaxies. For a mock galaxy catalog without clustering, or for GW localization volumes that are too large, using only the brightest galaxies results in a biased $H_0$ posterior. These results are important for informing future dark siren analyses with LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA as well as next-generation detectors.
title How Low Can You Go: Constraining the Effects of Catalog Incompleteness on Dark Siren Cosmology
topic Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.04786