Election and Subjective Well-Being:Evidence from the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
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arXiv
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| Autori principali: | , , |
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| Natura: | Preprint |
| Pubblicazione: |
2025
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| _version_ | 1866908635591868416 |
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| author | Kim, Dongyoung Kim, Young-Il Albert Rho, Haedong Aiden |
| author_facet | Kim, Dongyoung Kim, Young-Il Albert Rho, Haedong Aiden |
| contents | This paper uses daily Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data to estimate the causal effect of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, a highly competitive race whose outcome resolved lingering uncertainty on election day, on mental-health and life-satisfaction outcomes through a regression discontinuity design. Following the resolution of electoral uncertainty on election day, we find a sharp and persistent post-election decline in subjective well-being, concentrated among female, non-White, urban, and more-educated respondents. These findings reveal an expected-outcome shock, showing that political polarization itself, not electoral surprise, can act as a chronic psychological stressor. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_04912 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Election and Subjective Well-Being:Evidence from the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election Kim, Dongyoung Kim, Young-Il Albert Rho, Haedong Aiden General Economics Economics This paper uses daily Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System data to estimate the causal effect of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, a highly competitive race whose outcome resolved lingering uncertainty on election day, on mental-health and life-satisfaction outcomes through a regression discontinuity design. Following the resolution of electoral uncertainty on election day, we find a sharp and persistent post-election decline in subjective well-being, concentrated among female, non-White, urban, and more-educated respondents. These findings reveal an expected-outcome shock, showing that political polarization itself, not electoral surprise, can act as a chronic psychological stressor. |
| title | Election and Subjective Well-Being:Evidence from the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election |
| topic | General Economics Economics |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.04912 |