Predicting Oscar-Nominated Screenplays with Sentence Embeddings

Fuente: arXiv
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1. Verfasser: Gross, Francis
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Gross, Francis
author_facet Gross, Francis
contents Oscar nominations are an important factor in the movie industry because they can boost both the visibility and the commercial success. This work explores whether it is possible to predict Oscar nominations for screenplays using modern language models. Since no suitable dataset was available, a new one called Movie-O-Label was created by combining the MovieSum collection of movie scripts with curated Oscar records. Each screenplay was represented by its title, Wikipedia summary, and full script. Long scripts were split into overlapping text chunks and encoded with the E5 sentence em bedding model. Then, the screenplay embed dings were classified using a logistic regression model. The best results were achieved when three feature inputs related to screenplays (script, summary, and title) were combined. The best-performing model reached a macro F1 score of 0.66, a precision recall AP of 0.445 with baseline 0.19 and a ROC-AUC of 0.79. The results suggest that even simple models based on modern text embeddings demonstrate good prediction performance and might be a starting point for future research.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_05500
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Predicting Oscar-Nominated Screenplays with Sentence Embeddings
Gross, Francis
Information Retrieval
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Oscar nominations are an important factor in the movie industry because they can boost both the visibility and the commercial success. This work explores whether it is possible to predict Oscar nominations for screenplays using modern language models. Since no suitable dataset was available, a new one called Movie-O-Label was created by combining the MovieSum collection of movie scripts with curated Oscar records. Each screenplay was represented by its title, Wikipedia summary, and full script. Long scripts were split into overlapping text chunks and encoded with the E5 sentence em bedding model. Then, the screenplay embed dings were classified using a logistic regression model. The best results were achieved when three feature inputs related to screenplays (script, summary, and title) were combined. The best-performing model reached a macro F1 score of 0.66, a precision recall AP of 0.445 with baseline 0.19 and a ROC-AUC of 0.79. The results suggest that even simple models based on modern text embeddings demonstrate good prediction performance and might be a starting point for future research.
title Predicting Oscar-Nominated Screenplays with Sentence Embeddings
topic Information Retrieval
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.05500