Detection Prospects for AGNs with the Cherenkov Telescope Array

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Main Authors: Passos-Reis, Luana, Pino, Elisabete M. de Gouveia Dal, Hassan, Tarek, Pita, Santiago, Biteau, Jonathan, Lenain, Jean-Philippe, Acharyya, Atreya, Domínguez, Alberto, Gréaux, Lucas, Pereira, Luiz Augusto Stuani, Santos, Edivaldo Moura, Goldoni, Paolo
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Passos-Reis, Luana
Pino, Elisabete M. de Gouveia Dal
Hassan, Tarek
Pita, Santiago
Biteau, Jonathan
Lenain, Jean-Philippe
Acharyya, Atreya
Domínguez, Alberto
Gréaux, Lucas
Pereira, Luiz Augusto Stuani
Santos, Edivaldo Moura
Goldoni, Paolo
author_facet Passos-Reis, Luana
Pino, Elisabete M. de Gouveia Dal
Hassan, Tarek
Pita, Santiago
Biteau, Jonathan
Lenain, Jean-Philippe
Acharyya, Atreya
Domínguez, Alberto
Gréaux, Lucas
Pereira, Luiz Augusto Stuani
Santos, Edivaldo Moura
Goldoni, Paolo
contents The Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory (CTAO) will enable detailed studies of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) in the very-high-energy (VHE) regime, as the next-generation ground-based gamma-ray observatory, designed to enhance sensitivity and energy coverage (20 GeV -- 300 TeV) over current Imaging Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescopes (IACTs). In the context of the CTAO Science Collaboration, within the AGN Population working group, we developed a variability-based strategy to improve predictions of AGNs detectable by CTAO, using Fermi-LAT data and normalized excess variance (NXS) as a tracer of flux variability. By extrapolating from 30-day to 3-day timescales, we expanded the sample of sources with short-timescale variability estimates from 87 to 407. This approach allows us to identify flaring and distant AGNs that are promising CTAO targets. The results are being used to support the CTAO extragalactic science program and will be included in an upcoming Consortium publication for the AGN Population collaboration.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_08828
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Detection Prospects for AGNs with the Cherenkov Telescope Array
Passos-Reis, Luana
Pino, Elisabete M. de Gouveia Dal
Hassan, Tarek
Pita, Santiago
Biteau, Jonathan
Lenain, Jean-Philippe
Acharyya, Atreya
Domínguez, Alberto
Gréaux, Lucas
Pereira, Luiz Augusto Stuani
Santos, Edivaldo Moura
Goldoni, Paolo
High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
The Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory (CTAO) will enable detailed studies of Active Galactic Nuclei (AGN) in the very-high-energy (VHE) regime, as the next-generation ground-based gamma-ray observatory, designed to enhance sensitivity and energy coverage (20 GeV -- 300 TeV) over current Imaging Atmospheric Cherenkov Telescopes (IACTs). In the context of the CTAO Science Collaboration, within the AGN Population working group, we developed a variability-based strategy to improve predictions of AGNs detectable by CTAO, using Fermi-LAT data and normalized excess variance (NXS) as a tracer of flux variability. By extrapolating from 30-day to 3-day timescales, we expanded the sample of sources with short-timescale variability estimates from 87 to 407. This approach allows us to identify flaring and distant AGNs that are promising CTAO targets. The results are being used to support the CTAO extragalactic science program and will be included in an upcoming Consortium publication for the AGN Population collaboration.
title Detection Prospects for AGNs with the Cherenkov Telescope Array
topic High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.08828