Prediction horizon shapes representations in predictive learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Ratzon, Aviv, Barak, Omri
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Ratzon, Aviv
Barak, Omri
author_facet Ratzon, Aviv
Barak, Omri
contents Predictive learning has emerged as a central paradigm for training models across diverse data domains and is increasingly viewed as a foundation for modern artificial intelligence. A common intuition for this success is that accurate prediction requires models to capture the underlying dynamics of the environment, leading to the emergence of structured world models. However, predictive learning does not universally yield such representations, and a mechanistic account of when and why it does remains incomplete. In this work, we identify the prediction horizon as a critical, but often implicit, component of predictive learning objectives. We show that increasing the prediction horizon fundamentally shapes the effective structure of the learning problem. In a minimal setting, we demonstrate both theoretically and empirically that the model's implicit biases interact with this structural change to recover the latent geometry of the task. We then extend these empirical results to nonlinear architectures and more complex datasets, where similar phenomena persist. These findings provide a principled explanation for the emergence of structured representations in predictive learning paradigms and clarify the conditions under which such representations should be expected.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_09290
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Prediction horizon shapes representations in predictive learning
Ratzon, Aviv
Barak, Omri
Machine Learning
Neurons and Cognition
Predictive learning has emerged as a central paradigm for training models across diverse data domains and is increasingly viewed as a foundation for modern artificial intelligence. A common intuition for this success is that accurate prediction requires models to capture the underlying dynamics of the environment, leading to the emergence of structured world models. However, predictive learning does not universally yield such representations, and a mechanistic account of when and why it does remains incomplete. In this work, we identify the prediction horizon as a critical, but often implicit, component of predictive learning objectives. We show that increasing the prediction horizon fundamentally shapes the effective structure of the learning problem. In a minimal setting, we demonstrate both theoretically and empirically that the model's implicit biases interact with this structural change to recover the latent geometry of the task. We then extend these empirical results to nonlinear architectures and more complex datasets, where similar phenomena persist. These findings provide a principled explanation for the emergence of structured representations in predictive learning paradigms and clarify the conditions under which such representations should be expected.
title Prediction horizon shapes representations in predictive learning
topic Machine Learning
Neurons and Cognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.09290