Adversarially and Distributionally Robust Virtual Energy Storage Systems via the Scenario Approach

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Hauptverfasser: Pantazis, Georgios, Mignoni, Nicola, Carli, Raffaele, Dotoli, Mariagrazia, Grammatico, Sergio
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Pantazis, Georgios
Mignoni, Nicola
Carli, Raffaele
Dotoli, Mariagrazia
Grammatico, Sergio
author_facet Pantazis, Georgios
Mignoni, Nicola
Carli, Raffaele
Dotoli, Mariagrazia
Grammatico, Sergio
contents We study virtual energy storage services based on the aggregation of EV batteries in parking lots under time-varying, uncertain EV departures and state-of-charge limits. We propose a convex data-driven scheduling framework in which a parking lot manager provides storage services to a prosumer community while interacting with a retailer. The framework yields finite-sample, distribution-free guarantees on constraint violations and allows the parking lot manager to explicitly tune the trade-off between economic performance and operational safety. To enhance reliability under imperfect data, we extend the formulation to adversarial perturbations of the training samples and Wasserstein distributional shifts, obtaining robustness certificates against both corrupted data and out-of-distribution uncertainty. Numerical studies confirm the predicted profit-risk trade-off and show consistency between the theoretical certificates and the observed violation levels.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_09427
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Adversarially and Distributionally Robust Virtual Energy Storage Systems via the Scenario Approach
Pantazis, Georgios
Mignoni, Nicola
Carli, Raffaele
Dotoli, Mariagrazia
Grammatico, Sergio
Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
Systems and Control
We study virtual energy storage services based on the aggregation of EV batteries in parking lots under time-varying, uncertain EV departures and state-of-charge limits. We propose a convex data-driven scheduling framework in which a parking lot manager provides storage services to a prosumer community while interacting with a retailer. The framework yields finite-sample, distribution-free guarantees on constraint violations and allows the parking lot manager to explicitly tune the trade-off between economic performance and operational safety. To enhance reliability under imperfect data, we extend the formulation to adversarial perturbations of the training samples and Wasserstein distributional shifts, obtaining robustness certificates against both corrupted data and out-of-distribution uncertainty. Numerical studies confirm the predicted profit-risk trade-off and show consistency between the theoretical certificates and the observed violation levels.
title Adversarially and Distributionally Robust Virtual Energy Storage Systems via the Scenario Approach
topic Optimization and Control
Machine Learning
Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.09427