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Autori principali: Li, Haixin, Li, Yanke, Paez-Granados, Diego
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.11357
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author Li, Haixin
Li, Yanke
Paez-Granados, Diego
author_facet Li, Haixin
Li, Yanke
Paez-Granados, Diego
contents We introduce KarmaTS, an interactive framework for constructing lag-indexed, executable spatiotemporal causal graphical models for multivariate time series (MTS) simulation. Motivated by the challenge of access-restricted physiological data, KarmaTS generates synthetic MTS with known causal dynamics and augments real-world datasets with expert knowledge. The system constructs a discrete-time structural causal process (DSCP) by combining expert knowledge and algorithmic proposals in a mixed-initiative, human-in-the-loop workflow. The resulting DSCP supports simulation and causal interventions, including those under user-specified distribution shifts. KarmaTS handles mixed variable types, contemporaneous and lagged edges, and modular edge functionals ranging from parameterizable templates to neural network models. Together, these features enable flexible validation and benchmarking of causal discovery algorithms through expert-informed simulation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_11357
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle KarmaTS: A Universal Simulation Platform for Multivariate Time Series with Functional Causal Dynamics
Li, Haixin
Li, Yanke
Paez-Granados, Diego
Artificial Intelligence
Human-Computer Interaction
We introduce KarmaTS, an interactive framework for constructing lag-indexed, executable spatiotemporal causal graphical models for multivariate time series (MTS) simulation. Motivated by the challenge of access-restricted physiological data, KarmaTS generates synthetic MTS with known causal dynamics and augments real-world datasets with expert knowledge. The system constructs a discrete-time structural causal process (DSCP) by combining expert knowledge and algorithmic proposals in a mixed-initiative, human-in-the-loop workflow. The resulting DSCP supports simulation and causal interventions, including those under user-specified distribution shifts. KarmaTS handles mixed variable types, contemporaneous and lagged edges, and modular edge functionals ranging from parameterizable templates to neural network models. Together, these features enable flexible validation and benchmarking of causal discovery algorithms through expert-informed simulation.
title KarmaTS: A Universal Simulation Platform for Multivariate Time Series with Functional Causal Dynamics
topic Artificial Intelligence
Human-Computer Interaction
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.11357