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Main Authors: Tan, Liqin, Chen, Pin, Liu, Menghan, Wang, Xiean, Cen, Jianhuan, Zou, Qingsong
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.11697
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author Tan, Liqin
Chen, Pin
Liu, Menghan
Wang, Xiean
Cen, Jianhuan
Zou, Qingsong
author_facet Tan, Liqin
Chen, Pin
Liu, Menghan
Wang, Xiean
Cen, Jianhuan
Zou, Qingsong
contents We present MatUQ, a benchmark framework for evaluating graph neural networks (GNNs) on out-of-distribution (OOD) materials property prediction with uncertainty quantification (UQ). MatUQ comprises 1,375 OOD prediction tasks constructed from six materials datasets using five OFM-based and a newly proposed structure-aware splitting strategy, SOAP-LOCO, which captures local atomic environments more effectively. We evaluate 12 representative GNN models under a unified uncertainty-aware training protocol that combines Monte Carlo Dropout and Deep Evidential Regression (DER), and introduce a novel uncertainty metric, D-EviU, which shows the strongest correlation with prediction errors in most tasks. Our experiments yield two key findings. First, the uncertainty-aware training approach significantly improves model prediction accuracy, reducing errors by an average of 70.6\% across challenging OOD scenarios. Second, the benchmark reveals that no single model dominates universally: earlier models such as SchNet and ALIGNN remain competitive, while newer models like CrystalFramer and SODNet demonstrate superior performance on specific material properties. These results provide practical insights for selecting reliable models under distribution shifts in materials discovery.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_11697
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Benchmarking GNNs for OOD Materials Property Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification
Tan, Liqin
Chen, Pin
Liu, Menghan
Wang, Xiean
Cen, Jianhuan
Zou, Qingsong
Machine Learning
Materials Science
We present MatUQ, a benchmark framework for evaluating graph neural networks (GNNs) on out-of-distribution (OOD) materials property prediction with uncertainty quantification (UQ). MatUQ comprises 1,375 OOD prediction tasks constructed from six materials datasets using five OFM-based and a newly proposed structure-aware splitting strategy, SOAP-LOCO, which captures local atomic environments more effectively. We evaluate 12 representative GNN models under a unified uncertainty-aware training protocol that combines Monte Carlo Dropout and Deep Evidential Regression (DER), and introduce a novel uncertainty metric, D-EviU, which shows the strongest correlation with prediction errors in most tasks. Our experiments yield two key findings. First, the uncertainty-aware training approach significantly improves model prediction accuracy, reducing errors by an average of 70.6\% across challenging OOD scenarios. Second, the benchmark reveals that no single model dominates universally: earlier models such as SchNet and ALIGNN remain competitive, while newer models like CrystalFramer and SODNet demonstrate superior performance on specific material properties. These results provide practical insights for selecting reliable models under distribution shifts in materials discovery.
title Benchmarking GNNs for OOD Materials Property Prediction with Uncertainty Quantification
topic Machine Learning
Materials Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.11697