Manipulating Collective Opinion through Social Network Intervention

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Hata, Shigefumi, Lambiotte, Renaud, Nakao, Hiroya, Kobayashi, Ryota
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Hata, Shigefumi
Lambiotte, Renaud
Nakao, Hiroya
Kobayashi, Ryota
author_facet Hata, Shigefumi
Lambiotte, Renaud
Nakao, Hiroya
Kobayashi, Ryota
contents Social media platforms have transformed the dynamics of collective opinion formation, enabling rapid, large-scale interactions while simultaneously exposing online discourse to polarization and manipulation. Traditional models of opinion dynamics often predict convergence to a consensus, yet empirical evidence consistently highlights persistent polarization and radicalization, especially on contentious issues. This paper analytically investigates a mathematical model that captures the complex interplay of polarization, radicalization, and consensus within networked societies. By analyzing the emergence and stability of opinion clusters, we identify critical thresholds marking phase transitions in collective behavior, interpreted via a stability landscape. We further explore network-based interventions to manipulate the collective opinion, revealing that reducing inter-agent interactions can lead to unintended, irreversible shifts in opinion distributions. Our results underscore the dual-edged nature of intervention strategies, offering theoretical insight into the fragility and manipulability of public opinion in digital environments.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_12444
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Manipulating Collective Opinion through Social Network Intervention
Hata, Shigefumi
Lambiotte, Renaud
Nakao, Hiroya
Kobayashi, Ryota
Physics and Society
Social media platforms have transformed the dynamics of collective opinion formation, enabling rapid, large-scale interactions while simultaneously exposing online discourse to polarization and manipulation. Traditional models of opinion dynamics often predict convergence to a consensus, yet empirical evidence consistently highlights persistent polarization and radicalization, especially on contentious issues. This paper analytically investigates a mathematical model that captures the complex interplay of polarization, radicalization, and consensus within networked societies. By analyzing the emergence and stability of opinion clusters, we identify critical thresholds marking phase transitions in collective behavior, interpreted via a stability landscape. We further explore network-based interventions to manipulate the collective opinion, revealing that reducing inter-agent interactions can lead to unintended, irreversible shifts in opinion distributions. Our results underscore the dual-edged nature of intervention strategies, offering theoretical insight into the fragility and manipulability of public opinion in digital environments.
title Manipulating Collective Opinion through Social Network Intervention
topic Physics and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.12444