Sharp barrier estimates for Bessel bridges

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Chiarini, Leandro, Powell, Ellen
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866912715121885184
author Chiarini, Leandro
Powell, Ellen
author_facet Chiarini, Leandro
Powell, Ellen
contents In this article, we derive precise estimates for the probability that a Bessel bridge of dimension $d \ge 0$ and end points $x$ and $a+bT-j$ stays below the linear barrier $a + bt$ for all $t \in [0,T]$. We identify the leading order term as well as the asymptotic error for this probability as $T\to \infty$, depending on $a,b,j,x$. We also derive the behaviour of such leading term as we allow $a,j\to \infty$, and obtain precise bounds for all error terms. Finally, we establish a complementary result where the linear barrier is perturbed by a small concave function.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_13416
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Sharp barrier estimates for Bessel bridges
Chiarini, Leandro
Powell, Ellen
Probability
60G40, 60J60, 60J65
In this article, we derive precise estimates for the probability that a Bessel bridge of dimension $d \ge 0$ and end points $x$ and $a+bT-j$ stays below the linear barrier $a + bt$ for all $t \in [0,T]$. We identify the leading order term as well as the asymptotic error for this probability as $T\to \infty$, depending on $a,b,j,x$. We also derive the behaviour of such leading term as we allow $a,j\to \infty$, and obtain precise bounds for all error terms. Finally, we establish a complementary result where the linear barrier is perturbed by a small concave function.
title Sharp barrier estimates for Bessel bridges
topic Probability
60G40, 60J60, 60J65
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.13416