Oversampling techniques for predicting COVID-19 patient length of stay

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Farahany, Zachariah, Wu, Jiawei, Islam, K M Sajjadul, Madiraju, Praveen
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866917091901177856
author Farahany, Zachariah
Wu, Jiawei
Islam, K M Sajjadul
Madiraju, Praveen
author_facet Farahany, Zachariah
Wu, Jiawei
Islam, K M Sajjadul
Madiraju, Praveen
contents COVID-19 is a respiratory disease that caused a global pandemic in 2019. It is highly infectious and has the following symptoms: fever or chills, cough, shortness of breath, fatigue, muscle or body aches, headache, the new loss of taste or smell, sore throat, congestion or runny nose, nausea or vomiting, and diarrhea. These symptoms vary in severity; some people with many risk factors have been known to have lengthy hospital stays or die from the disease. In this paper, we analyze patients' electronic health records (EHR) to predict the severity of their COVID-19 infection using the length of stay (LOS) as our measurement of severity. This is an imbalanced classification problem, as many people have a shorter LOS rather than a longer one. To combat this problem, we synthetically create alternate oversampled training data sets. Once we have this oversampled data, we run it through an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), which during training has its hyperparameters tuned using Bayesian optimization. We select the model with the best F1 score and then evaluate it and discuss it.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_15048
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Oversampling techniques for predicting COVID-19 patient length of stay
Farahany, Zachariah
Wu, Jiawei
Islam, K M Sajjadul
Madiraju, Praveen
Machine Learning
COVID-19 is a respiratory disease that caused a global pandemic in 2019. It is highly infectious and has the following symptoms: fever or chills, cough, shortness of breath, fatigue, muscle or body aches, headache, the new loss of taste or smell, sore throat, congestion or runny nose, nausea or vomiting, and diarrhea. These symptoms vary in severity; some people with many risk factors have been known to have lengthy hospital stays or die from the disease. In this paper, we analyze patients' electronic health records (EHR) to predict the severity of their COVID-19 infection using the length of stay (LOS) as our measurement of severity. This is an imbalanced classification problem, as many people have a shorter LOS rather than a longer one. To combat this problem, we synthetically create alternate oversampled training data sets. Once we have this oversampled data, we run it through an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), which during training has its hyperparameters tuned using Bayesian optimization. We select the model with the best F1 score and then evaluate it and discuss it.
title Oversampling techniques for predicting COVID-19 patient length of stay
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.15048