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Main Authors: Guerra-Adames, Ariel, Avalos-Fernandez, Marta, Dorémus, Océane, Celi, Leo Anthony, Gil-Jardiné, Cédric, Lagarde, Emmanuel
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.17124
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author Guerra-Adames, Ariel
Avalos-Fernandez, Marta
Dorémus, Océane
Celi, Leo Anthony
Gil-Jardiné, Cédric
Lagarde, Emmanuel
author_facet Guerra-Adames, Ariel
Avalos-Fernandez, Marta
Dorémus, Océane
Celi, Leo Anthony
Gil-Jardiné, Cédric
Lagarde, Emmanuel
contents We present a novel, domain-agnostic counterfactual approach that uses Large Language Models (LLMs) to quantify gender disparities in human clinical decision-making. The method trains an LLM to emulate observed decisions, then evaluates counterfactual pairs in which only gender is flipped, estimating directional disparities while holding all other clinical factors constant. We study emergency triage, validating the approach on more than 150,000 admissions to the Bordeaux University Hospital (France) and replicating results on a subset of MIMIC-IV across a different language, population, and healthcare system. In the Bordeaux cohort, otherwise identical presentations were approximately 2.1% more likely to receive a lower-severity triage score when presented as female rather than male; scaled to national emergency volumes in France, this corresponds to more than 200,000 lower-severity assignments per year. Modality-specific analyses indicate that both explicit tabular gender indicators and implicit textual gender cues contribute to the disparity. Beyond emergency care, the approach supports bias audits in other settings (e.g., hiring, academic, and justice decisions), providing a scalable tool to detect and address inequities in real-world decision-making.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_17124
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Counterfactual LLM Framework for Detecting Human Biases: A Case Study of Sex/Gender in Emergency Triage
Guerra-Adames, Ariel
Avalos-Fernandez, Marta
Dorémus, Océane
Celi, Leo Anthony
Gil-Jardiné, Cédric
Lagarde, Emmanuel
Computers and Society
We present a novel, domain-agnostic counterfactual approach that uses Large Language Models (LLMs) to quantify gender disparities in human clinical decision-making. The method trains an LLM to emulate observed decisions, then evaluates counterfactual pairs in which only gender is flipped, estimating directional disparities while holding all other clinical factors constant. We study emergency triage, validating the approach on more than 150,000 admissions to the Bordeaux University Hospital (France) and replicating results on a subset of MIMIC-IV across a different language, population, and healthcare system. In the Bordeaux cohort, otherwise identical presentations were approximately 2.1% more likely to receive a lower-severity triage score when presented as female rather than male; scaled to national emergency volumes in France, this corresponds to more than 200,000 lower-severity assignments per year. Modality-specific analyses indicate that both explicit tabular gender indicators and implicit textual gender cues contribute to the disparity. Beyond emergency care, the approach supports bias audits in other settings (e.g., hiring, academic, and justice decisions), providing a scalable tool to detect and address inequities in real-world decision-making.
title A Counterfactual LLM Framework for Detecting Human Biases: A Case Study of Sex/Gender in Emergency Triage
topic Computers and Society
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.17124