Kepler-1624b Has No Significant Transit Timing Variations

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Im, Haedam, Saidel, Morgan, Knutson, Heather A., Greklek-McKeon, Michael, Vissapragada, Shreyas, Collins, Karen A., Fukui, Akihiko, Narita, Norio, Paragas, Kimberly, Schwarz, Richard P., Shporer, Avi, Srdoc, Gregor
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866914167167909888
author Im, Haedam
Saidel, Morgan
Knutson, Heather A.
Greklek-McKeon, Michael
Vissapragada, Shreyas
Collins, Karen A.
Fukui, Akihiko
Narita, Norio
Paragas, Kimberly
Schwarz, Richard P.
Shporer, Avi
Srdoc, Gregor
author_facet Im, Haedam
Saidel, Morgan
Knutson, Heather A.
Greklek-McKeon, Michael
Vissapragada, Shreyas
Collins, Karen A.
Fukui, Akihiko
Narita, Norio
Paragas, Kimberly
Schwarz, Richard P.
Shporer, Avi
Srdoc, Gregor
contents It is relatively rare for gas giant planets to have resonant or near-resonant companions, but these systems are particularly useful for constraining planet formation and migration models. In this study, we examine Kepler-1624b, a sub-Saturn orbiting an M dwarf that was previously found to exhibit transit timing variations with an amplitude of approximately 2 minutes, suggesting the presence of a nearby non-transiting companion. We reanalyze the transits from archival Kepler data and extend the TTV baseline by 11 years by combining TESS data with three new ground-based transit observations from Palomar and Las Cumbres Observatories. We jointly fit these datasets and find that the TTV amplitude is significantly weaker in our updated analysis. We calculate the Bayes factor for a one-planet versus two-planet model and find that the one-planet model is preferred. Our results highlight the need for careful analysis of systems with relatively low amplitude TTV signals that are identified in large automated catalogs.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_17709
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Kepler-1624b Has No Significant Transit Timing Variations
Im, Haedam
Saidel, Morgan
Knutson, Heather A.
Greklek-McKeon, Michael
Vissapragada, Shreyas
Collins, Karen A.
Fukui, Akihiko
Narita, Norio
Paragas, Kimberly
Schwarz, Richard P.
Shporer, Avi
Srdoc, Gregor
Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
It is relatively rare for gas giant planets to have resonant or near-resonant companions, but these systems are particularly useful for constraining planet formation and migration models. In this study, we examine Kepler-1624b, a sub-Saturn orbiting an M dwarf that was previously found to exhibit transit timing variations with an amplitude of approximately 2 minutes, suggesting the presence of a nearby non-transiting companion. We reanalyze the transits from archival Kepler data and extend the TTV baseline by 11 years by combining TESS data with three new ground-based transit observations from Palomar and Las Cumbres Observatories. We jointly fit these datasets and find that the TTV amplitude is significantly weaker in our updated analysis. We calculate the Bayes factor for a one-planet versus two-planet model and find that the one-planet model is preferred. Our results highlight the need for careful analysis of systems with relatively low amplitude TTV signals that are identified in large automated catalogs.
title Kepler-1624b Has No Significant Transit Timing Variations
topic Earth and Planetary Astrophysics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.17709