A Data-Driven Model Predictive Control Framework for Multi-Aircraft TMA Routing Under Travel Time Uncertainty

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Zhang, Yi, Long, Yushen, Huang, Liping, Zhang, Yicheng, Zhang, Sheng, Yin, Yifang
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Zhang, Yi
Long, Yushen
Huang, Liping
Zhang, Yicheng
Zhang, Sheng
Yin, Yifang
author_facet Zhang, Yi
Long, Yushen
Huang, Liping
Zhang, Yicheng
Zhang, Sheng
Yin, Yifang
contents This paper presents a closed-loop framework for conflict-free routing and scheduling of multi-aircraft in Terminal Manoeuvring Areas (TMA), aimed at reducing congestion and enhancing landing efficiency. Leveraging data-driven arrival inputs (either historical or predicted), we formulate a mixed-integer optimization model for real-time control, incorporating an extended TMA network spanning a 50-nautical-mile radius around Changi Airport. The model enforces safety separation, speed adjustments, and holding time constraints while maximizing runway throughput. A rolling-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy enables closed-loop integration with a traffic simulator, dynamically updating commands based on real-time system states and predictions. Computational efficiency is validated across diverse traffic scenarios, demonstrating a 7-fold reduction in computation time during peak congestion compared to onetime optimization, using Singapore ADS-B dataset. Monte Carlo simulations under travel time disturbances further confirm the framework's robustness. Results highlight the approach's operational resilience and computational scalability, offering actionable decision support for Air Traffic Controller Officers (ATCOs) through real-time optimization and adaptive replanning.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_19452
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Data-Driven Model Predictive Control Framework for Multi-Aircraft TMA Routing Under Travel Time Uncertainty
Zhang, Yi
Long, Yushen
Huang, Liping
Zhang, Yicheng
Zhang, Sheng
Yin, Yifang
Systems and Control
Multiagent Systems
This paper presents a closed-loop framework for conflict-free routing and scheduling of multi-aircraft in Terminal Manoeuvring Areas (TMA), aimed at reducing congestion and enhancing landing efficiency. Leveraging data-driven arrival inputs (either historical or predicted), we formulate a mixed-integer optimization model for real-time control, incorporating an extended TMA network spanning a 50-nautical-mile radius around Changi Airport. The model enforces safety separation, speed adjustments, and holding time constraints while maximizing runway throughput. A rolling-horizon Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy enables closed-loop integration with a traffic simulator, dynamically updating commands based on real-time system states and predictions. Computational efficiency is validated across diverse traffic scenarios, demonstrating a 7-fold reduction in computation time during peak congestion compared to onetime optimization, using Singapore ADS-B dataset. Monte Carlo simulations under travel time disturbances further confirm the framework's robustness. Results highlight the approach's operational resilience and computational scalability, offering actionable decision support for Air Traffic Controller Officers (ATCOs) through real-time optimization and adaptive replanning.
title A Data-Driven Model Predictive Control Framework for Multi-Aircraft TMA Routing Under Travel Time Uncertainty
topic Systems and Control
Multiagent Systems
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.19452