A Fully Probabilistic Tensor Network for Regularized Volterra System Identification

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kilic, Afra, Batselier, Kim
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Kilic, Afra
Batselier, Kim
author_facet Kilic, Afra
Batselier, Kim
contents Modeling nonlinear systems with Volterra series is challenging because the number of kernel coefficients grows exponentially with the model order. This work introduces Bayesian Tensor Network Volterra kernel machines (BTN-V), extending the Bayesian Tensor Network framework to Volterra system identification. BTN-V represents Volterra kernels using canonical polyadic decomposition, reducing model complexity from O(I^D) to O(DIR). By treating all tensor components and hyperparameters as random variables, BTN-V provides predictive uncertainty estimation at no additional computational cost. Sparsity-inducing hierarchical priors enable automatic rank determination and the learning of fading-memory behavior directly from data, improving interpretability and preventing overfitting. Empirical results demonstrate competitive accuracy, enhanced uncertainty quantification, and reduced computational cost.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_20457
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Fully Probabilistic Tensor Network for Regularized Volterra System Identification
Kilic, Afra
Batselier, Kim
Machine Learning
Modeling nonlinear systems with Volterra series is challenging because the number of kernel coefficients grows exponentially with the model order. This work introduces Bayesian Tensor Network Volterra kernel machines (BTN-V), extending the Bayesian Tensor Network framework to Volterra system identification. BTN-V represents Volterra kernels using canonical polyadic decomposition, reducing model complexity from O(I^D) to O(DIR). By treating all tensor components and hyperparameters as random variables, BTN-V provides predictive uncertainty estimation at no additional computational cost. Sparsity-inducing hierarchical priors enable automatic rank determination and the learning of fading-memory behavior directly from data, improving interpretability and preventing overfitting. Empirical results demonstrate competitive accuracy, enhanced uncertainty quantification, and reduced computational cost.
title A Fully Probabilistic Tensor Network for Regularized Volterra System Identification
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.20457