$Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process conditioned on fixation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Fittipaldi, María Clara, Casanova, Adrián González, Trejo, Julio Ernesto Nava
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Fittipaldi, María Clara
Casanova, Adrián González
Trejo, Julio Ernesto Nava
author_facet Fittipaldi, María Clara
Casanova, Adrián González
Trejo, Julio Ernesto Nava
contents We investigate the $Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process, a model describing allele frequency dynamics in populations exhibiting both skewed offspring distributions and dormancy. By performing a change of measure, we condition this process on the eventual fixation of a specified genetic type. The resulting process is again a $Λ$-Wright-Fisher process with a seed bank, but now features coordinated mutations driven by a random switching environment. Our analysis relies on two key techniques: the lookdown construction and sampling duality. These tools provide a pathwise construction of the conditioned process while preserving a means to recover the conditioned population genealogy. The resulting genealogy corresponds to a structured $Λ$-coalescent with coordinated mutations determined by the switching environment.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_20483
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle $Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process conditioned on fixation
Fittipaldi, María Clara
Casanova, Adrián González
Trejo, Julio Ernesto Nava
Probability
60J25, 60J90, 60J95, 60J70
We investigate the $Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process, a model describing allele frequency dynamics in populations exhibiting both skewed offspring distributions and dormancy. By performing a change of measure, we condition this process on the eventual fixation of a specified genetic type. The resulting process is again a $Λ$-Wright-Fisher process with a seed bank, but now features coordinated mutations driven by a random switching environment. Our analysis relies on two key techniques: the lookdown construction and sampling duality. These tools provide a pathwise construction of the conditioned process while preserving a means to recover the conditioned population genealogy. The resulting genealogy corresponds to a structured $Λ$-coalescent with coordinated mutations determined by the switching environment.
title $Λ$-Seed-Bank-Wright-Fisher process conditioned on fixation
topic Probability
60J25, 60J90, 60J95, 60J70
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.20483