I-GLIDE: Input Groups for Latent Health Indicators in Degradation Estimation

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Thil, Lucas, Read, Jesse, Kaddah, Rim, Doquet, Guillaume
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866914173233922048
author Thil, Lucas
Read, Jesse
Kaddah, Rim
Doquet, Guillaume
author_facet Thil, Lucas
Read, Jesse
Kaddah, Rim
Doquet, Guillaume
contents Accurate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction hinges on the quality of health indicators (HIs), yet existing methods often fail to disentangle complex degradation mechanisms in multi-sensor systems or quantify uncertainty in HI reliability. This paper introduces a novel framework for HI construction, advancing three key contributions. First, we adapt Reconstruction along Projected Pathways (RaPP) as a health indicator (HI) for RUL prediction for the first time, showing that it outperforms traditional reconstruction error metrics. Second, we show that augmenting RaPP-derived HIs with aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty quantification (UQ) via Monte Carlo dropout and probabilistic latent spaces- significantly improves RUL-prediction robustness. Third, and most critically, we propose indicator groups, a paradigm that isolates sensor subsets to model system-specific degradations, giving rise to our novel method, I-GLIDE which enables interpretable, mechanism-specific diagnostics. Evaluated on data sourced from aerospace and manufacturing systems, our approach achieves marked improvements in accuracy and generalizability compared to state-of-the-art HI methods while providing actionable insights into system failure pathways. This work bridges the gap between anomaly detection and prognostics, offering a principled framework for uncertainty-aware degradation modeling in complex systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_21208
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle I-GLIDE: Input Groups for Latent Health Indicators in Degradation Estimation
Thil, Lucas
Read, Jesse
Kaddah, Rim
Doquet, Guillaume
Machine Learning
I.2.6; I.6.5
Accurate remaining useful life (RUL) prediction hinges on the quality of health indicators (HIs), yet existing methods often fail to disentangle complex degradation mechanisms in multi-sensor systems or quantify uncertainty in HI reliability. This paper introduces a novel framework for HI construction, advancing three key contributions. First, we adapt Reconstruction along Projected Pathways (RaPP) as a health indicator (HI) for RUL prediction for the first time, showing that it outperforms traditional reconstruction error metrics. Second, we show that augmenting RaPP-derived HIs with aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty quantification (UQ) via Monte Carlo dropout and probabilistic latent spaces- significantly improves RUL-prediction robustness. Third, and most critically, we propose indicator groups, a paradigm that isolates sensor subsets to model system-specific degradations, giving rise to our novel method, I-GLIDE which enables interpretable, mechanism-specific diagnostics. Evaluated on data sourced from aerospace and manufacturing systems, our approach achieves marked improvements in accuracy and generalizability compared to state-of-the-art HI methods while providing actionable insights into system failure pathways. This work bridges the gap between anomaly detection and prognostics, offering a principled framework for uncertainty-aware degradation modeling in complex systems.
title I-GLIDE: Input Groups for Latent Health Indicators in Degradation Estimation
topic Machine Learning
I.2.6; I.6.5
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.21208