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Auteurs principaux: Meijerink, Lotta M., Leeuwenberg, Artuur M., Choi, Jungyeon, de Vries, Bas B. L. Penning, Langendijk, Johannes A., van Loon, Judith G. M., Nout, Remi A., Moons, Karel G. M., Schuit, Ewoud
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
Sujets:
Accès en ligne:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.21266
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author Meijerink, Lotta M.
Leeuwenberg, Artuur M.
Choi, Jungyeon
de Vries, Bas B. L. Penning
Langendijk, Johannes A.
van Loon, Judith G. M.
Nout, Remi A.
Moons, Karel G. M.
Schuit, Ewoud
author_facet Meijerink, Lotta M.
Leeuwenberg, Artuur M.
Choi, Jungyeon
de Vries, Bas B. L. Penning
Langendijk, Johannes A.
van Loon, Judith G. M.
Nout, Remi A.
Moons, Karel G. M.
Schuit, Ewoud
contents Prediction models developed before the introduction of a new treatment may be used to estimate treatment effects of newly introduced treatments. One approach, known as model-based clinical evaluation in radiotherapy, does this by comparing observed outcomes under a new treatment with predicted outcomes had these patients received the standard treatment. This article clarifies the relevant conditions needed for valid average treatment effect estimation using this approach, using the potential outcomes framework and a practical case study.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_21266
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Treatment effect estimation by comparing observed and predicted outcomes: theory and practical illustration in radiotherapy
Meijerink, Lotta M.
Leeuwenberg, Artuur M.
Choi, Jungyeon
de Vries, Bas B. L. Penning
Langendijk, Johannes A.
van Loon, Judith G. M.
Nout, Remi A.
Moons, Karel G. M.
Schuit, Ewoud
Methodology
Prediction models developed before the introduction of a new treatment may be used to estimate treatment effects of newly introduced treatments. One approach, known as model-based clinical evaluation in radiotherapy, does this by comparing observed outcomes under a new treatment with predicted outcomes had these patients received the standard treatment. This article clarifies the relevant conditions needed for valid average treatment effect estimation using this approach, using the potential outcomes framework and a practical case study.
title Treatment effect estimation by comparing observed and predicted outcomes: theory and practical illustration in radiotherapy
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.21266