Conditionals Based on Selection Functions, Modal Operators and Probabilities

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Flaminio, Tommaso, Godo, Lluis, Rosella, Gluliano
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Flaminio, Tommaso
Godo, Lluis
Rosella, Gluliano
author_facet Flaminio, Tommaso
Godo, Lluis
Rosella, Gluliano
contents Methods for probability updating, of which Bayesian conditionalization is the most well-known and widely used, are modeling tools that aim to represent the process of modifying an initial epistemic state, typically represented by a prior probability function P, which is adjusted in light of new information. Notably, updating methods and conditional sentences seem to intuitively share a deep connection, as is evident in the case of conditionalization. The present work contributes to this line of research and aims at shedding new light on the relationship between updating methods and conditional connectives. Departing from previous literature that often focused on a specific type of conditional or a particular updating method, our goal is to prove general results concerning the connection between conditionals and their probabilities. This will allow us to characterize the probabilities of certain conditional connectives and to understand what class of updating procedures can be represented using specific conditional connectives. Broadly, we adopt a general perspective that encompasses a large class of conditionals and a wide range of updating methods, enabling us to prove some general results concerning their interrelation.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_22377
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conditionals Based on Selection Functions, Modal Operators and Probabilities
Flaminio, Tommaso
Godo, Lluis
Rosella, Gluliano
Logic in Computer Science
Artificial Intelligence
Discrete Mathematics
Methods for probability updating, of which Bayesian conditionalization is the most well-known and widely used, are modeling tools that aim to represent the process of modifying an initial epistemic state, typically represented by a prior probability function P, which is adjusted in light of new information. Notably, updating methods and conditional sentences seem to intuitively share a deep connection, as is evident in the case of conditionalization. The present work contributes to this line of research and aims at shedding new light on the relationship between updating methods and conditional connectives. Departing from previous literature that often focused on a specific type of conditional or a particular updating method, our goal is to prove general results concerning the connection between conditionals and their probabilities. This will allow us to characterize the probabilities of certain conditional connectives and to understand what class of updating procedures can be represented using specific conditional connectives. Broadly, we adopt a general perspective that encompasses a large class of conditionals and a wide range of updating methods, enabling us to prove some general results concerning their interrelation.
title Conditionals Based on Selection Functions, Modal Operators and Probabilities
topic Logic in Computer Science
Artificial Intelligence
Discrete Mathematics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.22377