Beyond Last-Click: An Optimal Mechanism for Ad Attribution

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: An, Nan, Li, Weian, Qi, Qi, Yu, Changyuan, Zhang, Liang
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author An, Nan
Li, Weian
Qi, Qi
Yu, Changyuan
Zhang, Liang
author_facet An, Nan
Li, Weian
Qi, Qi
Yu, Changyuan
Zhang, Liang
contents Accurate attribution for multiple platforms is critical for evaluating performance-based advertising. However, existing attribution methods rely heavily on the heuristic methods, e.g., Last-Click Mechanism (LCM) which always allocates the attribution to the platform with the latest report, lacking theoretical guarantees for attribution accuracy. In this work, we propose a novel theoretical model for the advertising attribution problem, in which we aim to design the optimal dominant strategy incentive compatible (DSIC) mechanisms and evaluate their performance. We first show that LCM is not DSIC and performs poorly in terms of accuracy and fairness. To address this limitation, we introduce the Peer-Validated Mechanism (PVM), a DSIC mechanism in which a platform's attribution depends solely on the reports of other platforms. We then examine the accuracy of PVM across both homogeneous and heterogeneous settings, and provide provable accuracy bounds for each case. Notably, we show that PVM is the optimal DSIC mechanism in the homogeneous setting. Finally, numerical experiments are conducted to show that PVM consistently outperforms LCM in terms of attribution accuracy and fairness.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_22918
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Beyond Last-Click: An Optimal Mechanism for Ad Attribution
An, Nan
Li, Weian
Qi, Qi
Yu, Changyuan
Zhang, Liang
Computer Science and Game Theory
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Accurate attribution for multiple platforms is critical for evaluating performance-based advertising. However, existing attribution methods rely heavily on the heuristic methods, e.g., Last-Click Mechanism (LCM) which always allocates the attribution to the platform with the latest report, lacking theoretical guarantees for attribution accuracy. In this work, we propose a novel theoretical model for the advertising attribution problem, in which we aim to design the optimal dominant strategy incentive compatible (DSIC) mechanisms and evaluate their performance. We first show that LCM is not DSIC and performs poorly in terms of accuracy and fairness. To address this limitation, we introduce the Peer-Validated Mechanism (PVM), a DSIC mechanism in which a platform's attribution depends solely on the reports of other platforms. We then examine the accuracy of PVM across both homogeneous and heterogeneous settings, and provide provable accuracy bounds for each case. Notably, we show that PVM is the optimal DSIC mechanism in the homogeneous setting. Finally, numerical experiments are conducted to show that PVM consistently outperforms LCM in terms of attribution accuracy and fairness.
title Beyond Last-Click: An Optimal Mechanism for Ad Attribution
topic Computer Science and Game Theory
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.22918