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Main Authors: Wang, Xiaoxuan, Stadler, Rolf
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.23000
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author Wang, Xiaoxuan
Stadler, Rolf
author_facet Wang, Xiaoxuan
Stadler, Rolf
contents We study automated intrusion prediction in an IT system using statistical learning methods. The focus is on developing online attack predictors that detect attacks in real time and identify the current stage of the attack. While such predictors have been proposed in the recent literature, these works typically rely on constructing a monolithic predictor tailored to a specific attack type and scenario. Given that hundreds of attack types are cataloged in the MITRE framework, training a separate monolithic predictor for each of them is infeasible. In this paper, we propose a modular framework for rapidly assembling online attack predictors from reusable components. The modular nature of a predictor facilitates controlling key metrics like timeliness and accuracy of prediction, as well as tuning the trade-off between them. Using public datasets for training and evaluation, we provide many examples of modular predictors and show how an effective predictor can be dynamically assembled during training from a network of modular components.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2511_23000
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Modular Framework for Rapidly Building Intrusion Predictors
Wang, Xiaoxuan
Stadler, Rolf
Machine Learning
We study automated intrusion prediction in an IT system using statistical learning methods. The focus is on developing online attack predictors that detect attacks in real time and identify the current stage of the attack. While such predictors have been proposed in the recent literature, these works typically rely on constructing a monolithic predictor tailored to a specific attack type and scenario. Given that hundreds of attack types are cataloged in the MITRE framework, training a separate monolithic predictor for each of them is infeasible. In this paper, we propose a modular framework for rapidly assembling online attack predictors from reusable components. The modular nature of a predictor facilitates controlling key metrics like timeliness and accuracy of prediction, as well as tuning the trade-off between them. Using public datasets for training and evaluation, we provide many examples of modular predictors and show how an effective predictor can be dynamically assembled during training from a network of modular components.
title A Modular Framework for Rapidly Building Intrusion Predictors
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.23000