CONFIDE: Hallucination Assessment for Reliable Biomolecular Structure Prediction and Design

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Gao, Zijun, He, Mutian, Sun, Shijia, Cao, Hanqun, Zhang, Jingjie, Luo, Zihao, Wang, Xiaorui, Yao, Xiaojun, Hsieh, Chang-Yu, Gu, Chunbin, Heng, Pheng Ann
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Gao, Zijun
He, Mutian
Sun, Shijia
Cao, Hanqun
Zhang, Jingjie
Luo, Zihao
Wang, Xiaorui
Yao, Xiaojun
Hsieh, Chang-Yu
Gu, Chunbin
Heng, Pheng Ann
author_facet Gao, Zijun
He, Mutian
Sun, Shijia
Cao, Hanqun
Zhang, Jingjie
Luo, Zihao
Wang, Xiaorui
Yao, Xiaojun
Hsieh, Chang-Yu
Gu, Chunbin
Heng, Pheng Ann
contents Reliable evaluation of protein structure predictions remains challenging, as metrics like pLDDT capture energetic stability but often miss subtle errors such as atomic clashes or conformational traps reflecting topological frustration within the protein folding energy landscape. We present CODE (Chain of Diffusion Embeddings), a self evaluating metric empirically found to quantify topological frustration directly from the latent diffusion embeddings of the AlphaFold3 series of structure predictors in a fully unsupervised manner. Integrating this with pLDDT, we propose CONFIDE, a unified evaluation framework that combines energetic and topological perspectives to improve the reliability of AlphaFold3 and related models. CODE strongly correlates with protein folding rates driven by topological frustration, achieving a correlation of 0.82 compared to pLDDT's 0.33 (a relative improvement of 148\%). CONFIDE significantly enhances the reliability of quality evaluation in molecular glue structure prediction benchmarks, achieving a Spearman correlation of 0.73 with RMSD, compared to pLDDT's correlation of 0.42, a relative improvement of 73.8\%. Beyond quality assessment, our approach applies to diverse drug design tasks, including all-atom binder design, enzymatic active site mapping, mutation induced binding affinity prediction, nucleic acid aptamer screening, and flexible protein modeling. By combining data driven embeddings with theoretical insight, CODE and CONFIDE outperform existing metrics across a wide range of biomolecular systems, offering robust and versatile tools to refine structure predictions, advance structural biology, and accelerate drug discovery.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_02033
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle CONFIDE: Hallucination Assessment for Reliable Biomolecular Structure Prediction and Design
Gao, Zijun
He, Mutian
Sun, Shijia
Cao, Hanqun
Zhang, Jingjie
Luo, Zihao
Wang, Xiaorui
Yao, Xiaojun
Hsieh, Chang-Yu
Gu, Chunbin
Heng, Pheng Ann
Biomolecules
Artificial Intelligence
Reliable evaluation of protein structure predictions remains challenging, as metrics like pLDDT capture energetic stability but often miss subtle errors such as atomic clashes or conformational traps reflecting topological frustration within the protein folding energy landscape. We present CODE (Chain of Diffusion Embeddings), a self evaluating metric empirically found to quantify topological frustration directly from the latent diffusion embeddings of the AlphaFold3 series of structure predictors in a fully unsupervised manner. Integrating this with pLDDT, we propose CONFIDE, a unified evaluation framework that combines energetic and topological perspectives to improve the reliability of AlphaFold3 and related models. CODE strongly correlates with protein folding rates driven by topological frustration, achieving a correlation of 0.82 compared to pLDDT's 0.33 (a relative improvement of 148\%). CONFIDE significantly enhances the reliability of quality evaluation in molecular glue structure prediction benchmarks, achieving a Spearman correlation of 0.73 with RMSD, compared to pLDDT's correlation of 0.42, a relative improvement of 73.8\%. Beyond quality assessment, our approach applies to diverse drug design tasks, including all-atom binder design, enzymatic active site mapping, mutation induced binding affinity prediction, nucleic acid aptamer screening, and flexible protein modeling. By combining data driven embeddings with theoretical insight, CODE and CONFIDE outperform existing metrics across a wide range of biomolecular systems, offering robust and versatile tools to refine structure predictions, advance structural biology, and accelerate drug discovery.
title CONFIDE: Hallucination Assessment for Reliable Biomolecular Structure Prediction and Design
topic Biomolecules
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02033