From Veracity to Diffusion: Adressing Operational Challenges in Moving From Fake-News Detection to Information Disorders

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Main Authors: Savatteri, Francesco Paolo, Vidal-Gorène, Chahan, Cafiero, Florian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Savatteri, Francesco Paolo
Vidal-Gorène, Chahan
Cafiero, Florian
author_facet Savatteri, Francesco Paolo
Vidal-Gorène, Chahan
Cafiero, Florian
contents A wide part of research on misinformation has relied lies on fake-news detection, a task framed as the prediction of veracity labels attached to articles or claims. Yet social-science research has repeatedly emphasized that information manipulation goes beyond fabricated content and often relies on amplification dynamics. This theoretical turn has consequences for operationalization in applied social science research. What changes empirically when prediction targets move from veracity to diffusion? And which performance level can be attained in limited resources setups ? In this paper we compare fake-news detection and virality prediction across two datasets, EVONS and FakeNewsNet. We adopt an evaluation-first perspective and examine how benchmark behavior changes when the prediction target shifts from veracity to diffusion. Our experiments show that fake-news detection is comparatively stable once strong textual embeddings are available, whereas virality prediction is much more sensitive to operational choices such as threshold definition and early observation windows. The paper proposes practical ways to operationalize lightweight, transparent pipelines for misinformation-related prediction tasks that can rival with state-of-the-art.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_02552
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle From Veracity to Diffusion: Adressing Operational Challenges in Moving From Fake-News Detection to Information Disorders
Savatteri, Francesco Paolo
Vidal-Gorène, Chahan
Cafiero, Florian
Computation and Language
A wide part of research on misinformation has relied lies on fake-news detection, a task framed as the prediction of veracity labels attached to articles or claims. Yet social-science research has repeatedly emphasized that information manipulation goes beyond fabricated content and often relies on amplification dynamics. This theoretical turn has consequences for operationalization in applied social science research. What changes empirically when prediction targets move from veracity to diffusion? And which performance level can be attained in limited resources setups ? In this paper we compare fake-news detection and virality prediction across two datasets, EVONS and FakeNewsNet. We adopt an evaluation-first perspective and examine how benchmark behavior changes when the prediction target shifts from veracity to diffusion. Our experiments show that fake-news detection is comparatively stable once strong textual embeddings are available, whereas virality prediction is much more sensitive to operational choices such as threshold definition and early observation windows. The paper proposes practical ways to operationalize lightweight, transparent pipelines for misinformation-related prediction tasks that can rival with state-of-the-art.
title From Veracity to Diffusion: Adressing Operational Challenges in Moving From Fake-News Detection to Information Disorders
topic Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.02552