Change Point Detection for Functional Autoregressive Processes on the Sphere

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Spoto, Federica, Caponera, Alessia, Brutti, Pierpaolo
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Spoto, Federica
Caponera, Alessia
Brutti, Pierpaolo
author_facet Spoto, Federica
Caponera, Alessia
Brutti, Pierpaolo
contents We introduce a novel framework for change point detection in spherical functional autoregressive (SPHAR) processes, enabling the identification of structural breaks in spatio-temporal random fields on the sphere. Our LASSO-regularized estimator, based on penalized dynamic programming in the harmonic domain, operates without knowledge of the number or locations of change points and offers non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees. This approach provides a new tool for analyzing nonstationary phenomena on the sphere, relevant to climate science, cosmology, and beyond.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_03255
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Change Point Detection for Functional Autoregressive Processes on the Sphere
Spoto, Federica
Caponera, Alessia
Brutti, Pierpaolo
Methodology
We introduce a novel framework for change point detection in spherical functional autoregressive (SPHAR) processes, enabling the identification of structural breaks in spatio-temporal random fields on the sphere. Our LASSO-regularized estimator, based on penalized dynamic programming in the harmonic domain, operates without knowledge of the number or locations of change points and offers non-asymptotic theoretical guarantees. This approach provides a new tool for analyzing nonstationary phenomena on the sphere, relevant to climate science, cosmology, and beyond.
title Change Point Detection for Functional Autoregressive Processes on the Sphere
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.03255