Text Rationalization for Robust Causal Effect Estimation

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Zhang, Lijinghua, Cai, Hengrui
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Zhang, Lijinghua
Cai, Hengrui
author_facet Zhang, Lijinghua
Cai, Hengrui
contents Recent advances in natural language processing have enabled the increasing use of text data in causal inference, particularly for adjusting confounding factors in treatment effect estimation. Although high-dimensional text can encode rich contextual information, it also poses unique challenges for causal identification and estimation. In particular, the positivity assumption, which requires sufficient treatment overlap across confounder values, is often violated at the observational level, when massive text is represented in feature spaces. Redundant or spurious textual features inflate dimensionality, producing extreme propensity scores, unstable weights, and inflated variance in effect estimates. We address these challenges with Confounding-Aware Token Rationalization (CATR), a framework that selects a sparse necessary subset of tokens using a residual-independence diagnostic designed to preserve confounding information sufficient for unconfoundedness. By discarding irrelevant texts while retaining key signals, CATR mitigates observational-level positivity violations and stabilizes downstream causal effect estimators. Experiments on synthetic data and a real-world study using the MIMIC-III database demonstrate that CATR yields more accurate, stable, and interpretable causal effect estimates than existing baselines.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_05373
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Text Rationalization for Robust Causal Effect Estimation
Zhang, Lijinghua
Cai, Hengrui
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Methodology
Recent advances in natural language processing have enabled the increasing use of text data in causal inference, particularly for adjusting confounding factors in treatment effect estimation. Although high-dimensional text can encode rich contextual information, it also poses unique challenges for causal identification and estimation. In particular, the positivity assumption, which requires sufficient treatment overlap across confounder values, is often violated at the observational level, when massive text is represented in feature spaces. Redundant or spurious textual features inflate dimensionality, producing extreme propensity scores, unstable weights, and inflated variance in effect estimates. We address these challenges with Confounding-Aware Token Rationalization (CATR), a framework that selects a sparse necessary subset of tokens using a residual-independence diagnostic designed to preserve confounding information sufficient for unconfoundedness. By discarding irrelevant texts while retaining key signals, CATR mitigates observational-level positivity violations and stabilizes downstream causal effect estimators. Experiments on synthetic data and a real-world study using the MIMIC-III database demonstrate that CATR yields more accurate, stable, and interpretable causal effect estimates than existing baselines.
title Text Rationalization for Robust Causal Effect Estimation
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05373