Supervisory Measurement-Guided Noise Covariance Estimation: Discussing Forward and Reverse Differentiation

Fuente: arXiv
Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Li, Haoying, Peng, Yifan, Wu, Yuchi, Wu, Junfeng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1866909946211205120
author Li, Haoying
Peng, Yifan
Wu, Yuchi
Wu, Junfeng
author_facet Li, Haoying
Peng, Yifan
Wu, Yuchi
Wu, Junfeng
contents Reliable state estimation depends on accurately modeled noise covariances, which are difficult to determine in practice. This paper formulates the noise covariance estimation as a bilevel optimization problem that factorizes the joint likelihood of primary and supervisory measurements to reconcile information exploitation with computational tractability. The factorization converts the nested Bayesian dependency into a Markov-chain structure, allowing efficient computation. At the lower level, a Kalman filter with state augmentation performs such computation. Meanwhile, closed-form forward and reverse differentiation provide efficient gradients for the upper-level updates, and we compare the two models' space and time complexities to inform their practical selection. The upper level subsequently refines the noise covariances to guide the lower-level estimation. Taken together, the proposed algorithms offer a systematic and computationally efficient approach to noise covariance estimation in linear Gaussian systems.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_05604
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Supervisory Measurement-Guided Noise Covariance Estimation: Discussing Forward and Reverse Differentiation
Li, Haoying
Peng, Yifan
Wu, Yuchi
Wu, Junfeng
Systems and Control
Reliable state estimation depends on accurately modeled noise covariances, which are difficult to determine in practice. This paper formulates the noise covariance estimation as a bilevel optimization problem that factorizes the joint likelihood of primary and supervisory measurements to reconcile information exploitation with computational tractability. The factorization converts the nested Bayesian dependency into a Markov-chain structure, allowing efficient computation. At the lower level, a Kalman filter with state augmentation performs such computation. Meanwhile, closed-form forward and reverse differentiation provide efficient gradients for the upper-level updates, and we compare the two models' space and time complexities to inform their practical selection. The upper level subsequently refines the noise covariances to guide the lower-level estimation. Taken together, the proposed algorithms offer a systematic and computationally efficient approach to noise covariance estimation in linear Gaussian systems.
title Supervisory Measurement-Guided Noise Covariance Estimation: Discussing Forward and Reverse Differentiation
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.05604