Estimating Black Carbon Concentration from Urban Traffic Using Vision-Based Machine Learning

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zakaria, Camellia, Sadeghi, Aryan, Jaafar, Weaam, Xu, Junshi, Mariakakis, Alex, Hatzopoulou, Marianne
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Zakaria, Camellia
Sadeghi, Aryan
Jaafar, Weaam
Xu, Junshi
Mariakakis, Alex
Hatzopoulou, Marianne
author_facet Zakaria, Camellia
Sadeghi, Aryan
Jaafar, Weaam
Xu, Junshi
Mariakakis, Alex
Hatzopoulou, Marianne
contents Black carbon (BC) emissions in urban areas are primarily driven by traffic, with hotspots near major roads disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. Because BC monitoring is typically performed using costly and specialized instruments. there is little to no available data on BC from local traffic sources that could help inform policy interventions targeting local factors. By contrast, traffic monitoring systems are widely deployed in cities around the world, highlighting the imbalance between what we know about traffic conditions and what do not know about their environmental consequences. To bridge this gap, we propose a machine learning-driven system that extracts visual information from traffic video to capture vehicles behaviors and conditions. Combining these features with weather data, our model estimates BC at street level, achieving an R-squared value of 0.72 and RMSE of 129.42 ng/m3 (nanogram per cubic meter). From a sustainability perspective, this work leverages resources already supported by urban infrastructure and established modeling techniques to generate information relevant to traffic emission. Obtaining BC concentration data provides actionable insights to support pollution reduction, urban planning, public health, and environmental justice at the local municipal level.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_06649
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Estimating Black Carbon Concentration from Urban Traffic Using Vision-Based Machine Learning
Zakaria, Camellia
Sadeghi, Aryan
Jaafar, Weaam
Xu, Junshi
Mariakakis, Alex
Hatzopoulou, Marianne
Machine Learning
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Computers and Society
Emerging Technologies
Black carbon (BC) emissions in urban areas are primarily driven by traffic, with hotspots near major roads disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. Because BC monitoring is typically performed using costly and specialized instruments. there is little to no available data on BC from local traffic sources that could help inform policy interventions targeting local factors. By contrast, traffic monitoring systems are widely deployed in cities around the world, highlighting the imbalance between what we know about traffic conditions and what do not know about their environmental consequences. To bridge this gap, we propose a machine learning-driven system that extracts visual information from traffic video to capture vehicles behaviors and conditions. Combining these features with weather data, our model estimates BC at street level, achieving an R-squared value of 0.72 and RMSE of 129.42 ng/m3 (nanogram per cubic meter). From a sustainability perspective, this work leverages resources already supported by urban infrastructure and established modeling techniques to generate information relevant to traffic emission. Obtaining BC concentration data provides actionable insights to support pollution reduction, urban planning, public health, and environmental justice at the local municipal level.
title Estimating Black Carbon Concentration from Urban Traffic Using Vision-Based Machine Learning
topic Machine Learning
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
Computers and Society
Emerging Technologies
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.06649