Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approach

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Paschalidis, Phevos, Stoumpou, Vasiliki, Everest, Lisa, Ma, Yu, Azemi, Talhat, Haider, Jawad, Zweibel, Steven, Protopapas, Eleftherios M., Mather, Jeff, Tysarowski, Maciej, Sarris, George E., Hagberg, Robert C., Haronian, Howard L., Bertsimas, Dimitris
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2025
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author Paschalidis, Phevos
Stoumpou, Vasiliki
Everest, Lisa
Ma, Yu
Azemi, Talhat
Haider, Jawad
Zweibel, Steven
Protopapas, Eleftherios M.
Mather, Jeff
Tysarowski, Maciej
Sarris, George E.
Hagberg, Robert C.
Haronian, Howard L.
Bertsimas, Dimitris
author_facet Paschalidis, Phevos
Stoumpou, Vasiliki
Everest, Lisa
Ma, Yu
Azemi, Talhat
Haider, Jawad
Zweibel, Steven
Protopapas, Eleftherios M.
Mather, Jeff
Tysarowski, Maciej
Sarris, George E.
Hagberg, Robert C.
Haronian, Howard L.
Bertsimas, Dimitris
contents Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) has emerged as a minimally invasive treatment option for patients with severe aortic stenosis, a life-threatening cardiovascular condition. Multiple transcatheter heart valves (THV) have been approved for use in TAVR, but current guidelines regarding valve type prescription remain an active topic of debate. We propose a data-driven clinical support tool to identify the optimal valve type with the objective of minimizing the risk of permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI), a predominant postoperative complication. We synthesize a novel dataset that combines U.S. and Greek patient populations and integrates three distinct data sources (patient demographics, computed tomography scans, echocardiograms) while harmonizing differences in each country's record system. We introduce a leaf-level analysis to leverage population heterogeneity and avoid benchmarking against uncertain counterfactual risk estimates. The final prescriptive model shows a reduction in PPI rates of 26% and 16% compared with the current standard of care in our internal U.S. population and external Greek validation cohort, respectively. To the best of our knowledge, this work represents the first unified, personalized prescription strategy for THV selection in TAVR.
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spellingShingle Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approach
Paschalidis, Phevos
Stoumpou, Vasiliki
Everest, Lisa
Ma, Yu
Azemi, Talhat
Haider, Jawad
Zweibel, Steven
Protopapas, Eleftherios M.
Mather, Jeff
Tysarowski, Maciej
Sarris, George E.
Hagberg, Robert C.
Haronian, Howard L.
Bertsimas, Dimitris
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) has emerged as a minimally invasive treatment option for patients with severe aortic stenosis, a life-threatening cardiovascular condition. Multiple transcatheter heart valves (THV) have been approved for use in TAVR, but current guidelines regarding valve type prescription remain an active topic of debate. We propose a data-driven clinical support tool to identify the optimal valve type with the objective of minimizing the risk of permanent pacemaker implantation (PPI), a predominant postoperative complication. We synthesize a novel dataset that combines U.S. and Greek patient populations and integrates three distinct data sources (patient demographics, computed tomography scans, echocardiograms) while harmonizing differences in each country's record system. We introduce a leaf-level analysis to leverage population heterogeneity and avoid benchmarking against uncertain counterfactual risk estimates. The final prescriptive model shows a reduction in PPI rates of 26% and 16% compared with the current standard of care in our internal U.S. population and external Greek validation cohort, respectively. To the best of our knowledge, this work represents the first unified, personalized prescription strategy for THV selection in TAVR.
title Towards Optimal Valve Prescription for Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) Surgery: A Machine Learning Approach
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.09198