Replacement and Reputation

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Kartik, Navin, Lipnowski, Elliot, Pei, Harry
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2025
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author Kartik, Navin
Lipnowski, Elliot
Pei, Harry
author_facet Kartik, Navin
Lipnowski, Elliot
Pei, Harry
contents Does electoral replacement ensure that officeholders eventually act in voters' interests? We study a reputational model of accountability. Voters observe incumbents' performance and decide whether to replace them. Politicians may be "good" types who always exert effort or opportunists who may shirk. We find that good long-run outcomes are always attainable, though the mechanism and its robustness depend on economic conditions. In environments conducive to incentive provision, some equilibria feature sustained effort, yet others exhibit some long-run shirking. In the complementary case, opportunists are never fully disciplined, but selection dominates: every equilibrium eventually settles on a good politician, yielding permanent effort.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_13351
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Replacement and Reputation
Kartik, Navin
Lipnowski, Elliot
Pei, Harry
Theoretical Economics
Does electoral replacement ensure that officeholders eventually act in voters' interests? We study a reputational model of accountability. Voters observe incumbents' performance and decide whether to replace them. Politicians may be "good" types who always exert effort or opportunists who may shirk. We find that good long-run outcomes are always attainable, though the mechanism and its robustness depend on economic conditions. In environments conducive to incentive provision, some equilibria feature sustained effort, yet others exhibit some long-run shirking. In the complementary case, opportunists are never fully disciplined, but selection dominates: every equilibrium eventually settles on a good politician, yielding permanent effort.
title Replacement and Reputation
topic Theoretical Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.13351