The Graph-Embedded Hazard Model (GEHM): Stochastic Network Survival Dynamics on Economic Graphs

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Vallarino, Diego
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
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author Vallarino, Diego
author_facet Vallarino, Diego
contents This paper develops a nonlinear evolution framework for modelling survival dynamics on weighted economic networks by coupling a graph-based $p$-Laplacian diffusion operator with a stochastic structural drift. The resulting finite-dimensional PDE--SDE system captures how node-level survival reacts to nonlinear diffusion pressures while an aggregate complexity factor evolves according to an Itô{} process. Using accretive operator theory, nonlinear semigroup methods, and stochastic analysis, we establish existence and uniqueness of mild solutions, derive topology-dependent energy dissipation inequalities, and characterise the stability threshold separating dissipative, critical, amplifying, and explosive regimes. Numerical experiments on Barabási--Albert networks confirm that hub dominance magnifies nonlinear gradients and compresses stability margins, producing heavy-tailed survival distributions and occasional explosive behaviour.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_14705
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Graph-Embedded Hazard Model (GEHM): Stochastic Network Survival Dynamics on Economic Graphs
Vallarino, Diego
Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
This paper develops a nonlinear evolution framework for modelling survival dynamics on weighted economic networks by coupling a graph-based $p$-Laplacian diffusion operator with a stochastic structural drift. The resulting finite-dimensional PDE--SDE system captures how node-level survival reacts to nonlinear diffusion pressures while an aggregate complexity factor evolves according to an Itô{} process. Using accretive operator theory, nonlinear semigroup methods, and stochastic analysis, we establish existence and uniqueness of mild solutions, derive topology-dependent energy dissipation inequalities, and characterise the stability threshold separating dissipative, critical, amplifying, and explosive regimes. Numerical experiments on Barabási--Albert networks confirm that hub dominance magnifies nonlinear gradients and compresses stability margins, producing heavy-tailed survival distributions and occasional explosive behaviour.
title The Graph-Embedded Hazard Model (GEHM): Stochastic Network Survival Dynamics on Economic Graphs
topic Social and Information Networks
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.14705