A Bayesian latent class reinforcement learning framework to capture adaptive, feedback-driven travel behaviour
Fuente:
arXiv
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| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
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| Formato: | Preprint |
| Publicado: |
2025
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | |
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| _version_ | 1866917150507139072 |
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| author | Sfeir, Georges Hess, Stephane Hancock, Thomas O. Rodrigues, Filipe Rad, Jamal Amani Bliemer, Michiel Beck, Matthew Khan, Fayyaz |
| author_facet | Sfeir, Georges Hess, Stephane Hancock, Thomas O. Rodrigues, Filipe Rad, Jamal Amani Bliemer, Michiel Beck, Matthew Khan, Fayyaz |
| contents | Many travel decisions involve a degree of experience formation, where individuals learn their preferences over time. At the same time, there is extensive scope for heterogeneity across individual travellers, both in their underlying preferences and in how these evolve. The present paper puts forward a Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model that allows analysts to capture both of these phenomena. We apply the model to a driving simulator dataset and estimate the parameters through Variational Bayes. We identify three distinct classes of individuals that differ markedly in how they adapt their preferences: the first displays context-dependent preferences with context-specific exploitative tendencies; the second follows a persistent exploitative strategy regardless of context; and the third engages in an exploratory strategy combined with context-specific preferences. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_14713 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2025 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | A Bayesian latent class reinforcement learning framework to capture adaptive, feedback-driven travel behaviour Sfeir, Georges Hess, Stephane Hancock, Thomas O. Rodrigues, Filipe Rad, Jamal Amani Bliemer, Michiel Beck, Matthew Khan, Fayyaz Machine Learning Many travel decisions involve a degree of experience formation, where individuals learn their preferences over time. At the same time, there is extensive scope for heterogeneity across individual travellers, both in their underlying preferences and in how these evolve. The present paper puts forward a Latent Class Reinforcement Learning (LCRL) model that allows analysts to capture both of these phenomena. We apply the model to a driving simulator dataset and estimate the parameters through Variational Bayes. We identify three distinct classes of individuals that differ markedly in how they adapt their preferences: the first displays context-dependent preferences with context-specific exploitative tendencies; the second follows a persistent exploitative strategy regardless of context; and the third engages in an exploratory strategy combined with context-specific preferences. |
| title | A Bayesian latent class reinforcement learning framework to capture adaptive, feedback-driven travel behaviour |
| topic | Machine Learning |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.14713 |