Bayesian Latent Class Regression and Variable Selection with Applications to Sleep Patterns Data

Fuente: arXiv
Salvato in:
Dettagli Bibliografici
Autori principali: Heaney, Matthew, Healy, Olive, Wyse, Jason, White, Arthur
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2025
Soggetti:
Accesso online:
Tags: Aggiungi Tag
Nessun Tag, puoi essere il primo ad aggiungerne!!
_version_ 1866914205249044480
author Heaney, Matthew
Healy, Olive
Wyse, Jason
White, Arthur
author_facet Heaney, Matthew
Healy, Olive
Wyse, Jason
White, Arthur
contents Sleep difficulties in children are heterogeneous in presentation, yet conventional assessment tools like the Children's Sleep Habits Questionnaire (CSHQ) reduce this complexity to a single cumulative score, obscuring distinct patterns of sleep disturbance that require different interventions. Latent Class Regression (LCR) models offer a principled approach to identify subgroups with shared sleep behaviour profiles whilst incorporating predictors of group membership, but Bayesian inference for these models has been hindered by computational challenges and the absence of variable selection methods. We propose a fully Bayesian framework for LCR that uses Pólya-Gamma data augmentation, enabling efficient sampling of regression coefficients. We extend this framework to include variable selection for both predictors and item responses: predictor variable selection via latent inclusion indicators and item selection through a partially collapsed approach. Through simulation studies, we show that the proposed methods yield accurate parameter estimates, resolve identifiability issues arising in full models and successfully identify informative predictors and items while excluding noise variables. Applying this methodology to CSHQ data from 148 children reveals distinct latent subgroups with different sleep behaviour profiles, anxious nighttime sleepers, short/light sleepers and those with more pervasive sleep problems, with each carrying distinct implications for intervention. Results also highlight the predictive role of Autism Spectrum Disorder diagnosis in subgroup membership. These findings demonstrate the limitations of conventional CSHQ scoring and illustrate the benefits of a probabilistic subgroup-based approach as an alternative for understanding paediatric sleep difficulties.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_14903
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian Latent Class Regression and Variable Selection with Applications to Sleep Patterns Data
Heaney, Matthew
Healy, Olive
Wyse, Jason
White, Arthur
Methodology
Applications
Computation
Sleep difficulties in children are heterogeneous in presentation, yet conventional assessment tools like the Children's Sleep Habits Questionnaire (CSHQ) reduce this complexity to a single cumulative score, obscuring distinct patterns of sleep disturbance that require different interventions. Latent Class Regression (LCR) models offer a principled approach to identify subgroups with shared sleep behaviour profiles whilst incorporating predictors of group membership, but Bayesian inference for these models has been hindered by computational challenges and the absence of variable selection methods. We propose a fully Bayesian framework for LCR that uses Pólya-Gamma data augmentation, enabling efficient sampling of regression coefficients. We extend this framework to include variable selection for both predictors and item responses: predictor variable selection via latent inclusion indicators and item selection through a partially collapsed approach. Through simulation studies, we show that the proposed methods yield accurate parameter estimates, resolve identifiability issues arising in full models and successfully identify informative predictors and items while excluding noise variables. Applying this methodology to CSHQ data from 148 children reveals distinct latent subgroups with different sleep behaviour profiles, anxious nighttime sleepers, short/light sleepers and those with more pervasive sleep problems, with each carrying distinct implications for intervention. Results also highlight the predictive role of Autism Spectrum Disorder diagnosis in subgroup membership. These findings demonstrate the limitations of conventional CSHQ scoring and illustrate the benefits of a probabilistic subgroup-based approach as an alternative for understanding paediatric sleep difficulties.
title Bayesian Latent Class Regression and Variable Selection with Applications to Sleep Patterns Data
topic Methodology
Applications
Computation
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.14903