_version_ 1866915990269329408
author Song, Zhangde
Lu, Jieyu
Du, Yuanqi
Yu, Botao
Pruyn, Thomas M.
Huang, Yue
Guo, Kehan
Luo, Xiuzhe
Qu, Yuanhao
Qu, Yi
Wang, Yinkai
Wang, Haorui
Guo, Jeff
Gan, Jingru
Shojaee, Parshin
Luo, Di
Bran, Andres M
Li, Gen
Zhao, Qiyuan
Luo, Shao-Xiong Lennon
Zhang, Yuxuan
Zou, Xiang
Zhao, Wanru
Zhang, Yifan F.
Zhang, Wucheng
Zheng, Shunan
Zhang, Saiyang
Khan, Sartaaj Takrim
Rajabi-Kochi, Mahyar
Paradi-Maropakis, Samantha
Baltoiu, Tony
Xie, Fengyu
Chen, Tianyang
Huang, Kexin
Luo, Weiliang
Fang, Meijing
Yang, Xin
Cheng, Lixue
He, Jiajun
Hassoun, Soha
Zhang, Xiangliang
Wang, Wei
Reddy, Chandan K.
Zhang, Chao
Zheng, Zhiling
Wang, Mengdi
Cong, Le
Gomes, Carla P.
Hsieh, Chang-Yu
Nandy, Aditya
Schwaller, Philippe
Kulik, Heather J.
Jia, Haojun
Sun, Huan
Moosavi, Seyed Mohamad
Duan, Chenru
author_facet Song, Zhangde
Lu, Jieyu
Du, Yuanqi
Yu, Botao
Pruyn, Thomas M.
Huang, Yue
Guo, Kehan
Luo, Xiuzhe
Qu, Yuanhao
Qu, Yi
Wang, Yinkai
Wang, Haorui
Guo, Jeff
Gan, Jingru
Shojaee, Parshin
Luo, Di
Bran, Andres M
Li, Gen
Zhao, Qiyuan
Luo, Shao-Xiong Lennon
Zhang, Yuxuan
Zou, Xiang
Zhao, Wanru
Zhang, Yifan F.
Zhang, Wucheng
Zheng, Shunan
Zhang, Saiyang
Khan, Sartaaj Takrim
Rajabi-Kochi, Mahyar
Paradi-Maropakis, Samantha
Baltoiu, Tony
Xie, Fengyu
Chen, Tianyang
Huang, Kexin
Luo, Weiliang
Fang, Meijing
Yang, Xin
Cheng, Lixue
He, Jiajun
Hassoun, Soha
Zhang, Xiangliang
Wang, Wei
Reddy, Chandan K.
Zhang, Chao
Zheng, Zhiling
Wang, Mengdi
Cong, Le
Gomes, Carla P.
Hsieh, Chang-Yu
Nandy, Aditya
Schwaller, Philippe
Kulik, Heather J.
Jia, Haojun
Sun, Huan
Moosavi, Seyed Mohamad
Duan, Chenru
contents Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to scientific research, yet prevailing science benchmarks probe decontextualized knowledge and overlook the iterative reasoning, hypothesis generation, and observation interpretation that drive scientific discovery. We introduce a scenario-grounded benchmark that evaluates LLMs across biology, chemistry, materials, and physics, where domain experts define research projects of genuine interest and decompose them into modular research scenarios from which vetted questions are sampled. The framework assesses models at two levels: (i) question-level accuracy on scenario-tied items and (ii) project-level performance, where models must propose testable hypotheses, design simulations or experiments, and interpret results. Applying this two-phase scientific discovery evaluation (SDE) framework to state-of-the-art LLMs reveals a consistent performance gap relative to general science benchmarks, diminishing return of scaling up model sizes and reasoning, and systematic weaknesses shared across top-tier models from different providers. Large performance variation in research scenarios leads to changing choices of the best performing model on scientific discovery projects evaluated, suggesting all current LLMs are distant to general scientific "superintelligence". Nevertheless, LLMs already demonstrate promise in a great variety of scientific discovery projects, including cases where constituent scenario scores are low, highlighting the role of guided exploration and serendipity in discovery. This SDE framework offers a reproducible benchmark for discovery-relevant evaluation of LLMs and charts practical paths to advance their development toward scientific discovery.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_15567
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Evaluating Large Language Models in Scientific Discovery
Song, Zhangde
Lu, Jieyu
Du, Yuanqi
Yu, Botao
Pruyn, Thomas M.
Huang, Yue
Guo, Kehan
Luo, Xiuzhe
Qu, Yuanhao
Qu, Yi
Wang, Yinkai
Wang, Haorui
Guo, Jeff
Gan, Jingru
Shojaee, Parshin
Luo, Di
Bran, Andres M
Li, Gen
Zhao, Qiyuan
Luo, Shao-Xiong Lennon
Zhang, Yuxuan
Zou, Xiang
Zhao, Wanru
Zhang, Yifan F.
Zhang, Wucheng
Zheng, Shunan
Zhang, Saiyang
Khan, Sartaaj Takrim
Rajabi-Kochi, Mahyar
Paradi-Maropakis, Samantha
Baltoiu, Tony
Xie, Fengyu
Chen, Tianyang
Huang, Kexin
Luo, Weiliang
Fang, Meijing
Yang, Xin
Cheng, Lixue
He, Jiajun
Hassoun, Soha
Zhang, Xiangliang
Wang, Wei
Reddy, Chandan K.
Zhang, Chao
Zheng, Zhiling
Wang, Mengdi
Cong, Le
Gomes, Carla P.
Hsieh, Chang-Yu
Nandy, Aditya
Schwaller, Philippe
Kulik, Heather J.
Jia, Haojun
Sun, Huan
Moosavi, Seyed Mohamad
Duan, Chenru
Artificial Intelligence
Materials Science
Machine Learning
Chemical Physics
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied to scientific research, yet prevailing science benchmarks probe decontextualized knowledge and overlook the iterative reasoning, hypothesis generation, and observation interpretation that drive scientific discovery. We introduce a scenario-grounded benchmark that evaluates LLMs across biology, chemistry, materials, and physics, where domain experts define research projects of genuine interest and decompose them into modular research scenarios from which vetted questions are sampled. The framework assesses models at two levels: (i) question-level accuracy on scenario-tied items and (ii) project-level performance, where models must propose testable hypotheses, design simulations or experiments, and interpret results. Applying this two-phase scientific discovery evaluation (SDE) framework to state-of-the-art LLMs reveals a consistent performance gap relative to general science benchmarks, diminishing return of scaling up model sizes and reasoning, and systematic weaknesses shared across top-tier models from different providers. Large performance variation in research scenarios leads to changing choices of the best performing model on scientific discovery projects evaluated, suggesting all current LLMs are distant to general scientific "superintelligence". Nevertheless, LLMs already demonstrate promise in a great variety of scientific discovery projects, including cases where constituent scenario scores are low, highlighting the role of guided exploration and serendipity in discovery. This SDE framework offers a reproducible benchmark for discovery-relevant evaluation of LLMs and charts practical paths to advance their development toward scientific discovery.
title Evaluating Large Language Models in Scientific Discovery
topic Artificial Intelligence
Materials Science
Machine Learning
Chemical Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.15567