A Games-in-Games Paradigm for Strategic Hybrid Jump-Diffusions: Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs Hierarchy and Spectral Structure

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Pan, Yunian, Zhu, Quanyan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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author Pan, Yunian
Zhu, Quanyan
author_facet Pan, Yunian
Zhu, Quanyan
contents This paper develops a hierarchical games-in-games control architecture for hybrid stochastic systems governed by regime-switching jump-diffusions. We model the interplay between continuous state dynamics and discrete mode transitions as a bilevel differential game: an inner layer solves a robust stochastic control problem within each regime, while a strategic outer layer modulates the transition intensities of the underlying Markov chain. A Dynkin-based analysis yields a system of coupled Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs (HJI) equations. We prove that for the class of Linear-Quadratic games and Exponential-Affine games, this hierarchy admits tractable semi-closed form solutions via coupled matrix differential equations. We prove that for the class of Linear-Quadratic games and Exponential-Affine games, this hierarchy admits tractable semi-closed form solutions via coupled matrix differential equations. The framework is demonstrated through a case study on adversarial market microstructure, showing how the outer layer's strategic switching pre-emptively adjusts inventory spreads against latent regime risks, which leads to a hyper-alert equilibrium.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_18098
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Games-in-Games Paradigm for Strategic Hybrid Jump-Diffusions: Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs Hierarchy and Spectral Structure
Pan, Yunian
Zhu, Quanyan
Systems and Control
This paper develops a hierarchical games-in-games control architecture for hybrid stochastic systems governed by regime-switching jump-diffusions. We model the interplay between continuous state dynamics and discrete mode transitions as a bilevel differential game: an inner layer solves a robust stochastic control problem within each regime, while a strategic outer layer modulates the transition intensities of the underlying Markov chain. A Dynkin-based analysis yields a system of coupled Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs (HJI) equations. We prove that for the class of Linear-Quadratic games and Exponential-Affine games, this hierarchy admits tractable semi-closed form solutions via coupled matrix differential equations. We prove that for the class of Linear-Quadratic games and Exponential-Affine games, this hierarchy admits tractable semi-closed form solutions via coupled matrix differential equations. The framework is demonstrated through a case study on adversarial market microstructure, showing how the outer layer's strategic switching pre-emptively adjusts inventory spreads against latent regime risks, which leads to a hyper-alert equilibrium.
title A Games-in-Games Paradigm for Strategic Hybrid Jump-Diffusions: Hamilton-Jacobi-Isaacs Hierarchy and Spectral Structure
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.18098