Standard Sirens in 2040s: Probing the Cosmic Expansion History with Gravitational Waves and Spectroscopic Galaxy Surveys

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Borghi, Nicola, Moresco, Michele, Anderson, Richard I., Carbone, Carmelita, Cimatti, Andrea, Escoffier, Stephanie, Giocoli, Carlo, MacBride, Sean, Majidi, Fatemeh Zahra, Milaković, Dinko, Moscardini, Lauro, Pozzetti, Lucia, Talia, Margherita, Tomasetti, Elena
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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_version_ 1866917160102658048
author Borghi, Nicola
Moresco, Michele
Anderson, Richard I.
Carbone, Carmelita
Cimatti, Andrea
Escoffier, Stephanie
Giocoli, Carlo
MacBride, Sean
Majidi, Fatemeh Zahra
Milaković, Dinko
Moscardini, Lauro
Pozzetti, Lucia
Talia, Margherita
Tomasetti, Elena
author_facet Borghi, Nicola
Moresco, Michele
Anderson, Richard I.
Carbone, Carmelita
Cimatti, Andrea
Escoffier, Stephanie
Giocoli, Carlo
MacBride, Sean
Majidi, Fatemeh Zahra
Milaković, Dinko
Moscardini, Lauro
Pozzetti, Lucia
Talia, Margherita
Tomasetti, Elena
contents Gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary coalescences have matured into a robust cosmological probe, providing self-calibrated luminosity distance measurements independent of any cosmic distance ladder, hence the term "standard sirens". The binary neutron star merger GW170817 delivered the first such measurement of the Hubble constant, demonstrating that GWs offer a path to precision cosmology with systematics orthogonal to standard cosmological probes. To convert GW distances into cosmological parameters, redshift information is essential. To maximize the scientific potential, the redshift must be obtained from individual galaxies, either by identifying electromagnetic counterparts of GW events (bright sirens) or by statistically associating potential hosts within the GW localization volume (dark sirens). The precision of these redshifts sets the achievable accuracy. Forecasts show that photometric uncertainties degrade cosmological constraints by up to an order of magnitude compared to spectroscopic ones. Wide-field, high-multiplex spectroscopic facilities will therefore be an essential infrastructure for GW cosmology in the 2040s.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_18369
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Standard Sirens in 2040s: Probing the Cosmic Expansion History with Gravitational Waves and Spectroscopic Galaxy Surveys
Borghi, Nicola
Moresco, Michele
Anderson, Richard I.
Carbone, Carmelita
Cimatti, Andrea
Escoffier, Stephanie
Giocoli, Carlo
MacBride, Sean
Majidi, Fatemeh Zahra
Milaković, Dinko
Moscardini, Lauro
Pozzetti, Lucia
Talia, Margherita
Tomasetti, Elena
Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Astrophysics of Galaxies
Gravitational waves (GWs) from compact binary coalescences have matured into a robust cosmological probe, providing self-calibrated luminosity distance measurements independent of any cosmic distance ladder, hence the term "standard sirens". The binary neutron star merger GW170817 delivered the first such measurement of the Hubble constant, demonstrating that GWs offer a path to precision cosmology with systematics orthogonal to standard cosmological probes. To convert GW distances into cosmological parameters, redshift information is essential. To maximize the scientific potential, the redshift must be obtained from individual galaxies, either by identifying electromagnetic counterparts of GW events (bright sirens) or by statistically associating potential hosts within the GW localization volume (dark sirens). The precision of these redshifts sets the achievable accuracy. Forecasts show that photometric uncertainties degrade cosmological constraints by up to an order of magnitude compared to spectroscopic ones. Wide-field, high-multiplex spectroscopic facilities will therefore be an essential infrastructure for GW cosmology in the 2040s.
title Standard Sirens in 2040s: Probing the Cosmic Expansion History with Gravitational Waves and Spectroscopic Galaxy Surveys
topic Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics
Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics
Astrophysics of Galaxies
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.18369