(Debiased) Inference for Fixed Effects Estimators with Three-Dimensional Panel and Network Data

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Hauptverfasser: Czarnowske, Daniel, Stammann, Amrei
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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author Czarnowske, Daniel
Stammann, Amrei
author_facet Czarnowske, Daniel
Stammann, Amrei
contents Inference for fixed effects estimators is often unreliable due to Nickell- and incidental parameter biases. While these issues are well understood for classical two-dimensional panels, little is known about three-dimensional panel structures (e.g., sender x receiver x time). We develop inferential theory for a broad class of linear and nonlinear fixed effects M-estimators in this setting, covering bipartite, directed, and undirected network panel data, multiple specifications of additively separable unobserved effects, and both strictly exogenous and predetermined regressors. Our analysis reveals fundamentally different asymptotic properties compared to two-dimensional panels. In particular, we find a sharp dichotomy across specifications: (i) when unobserved effects vary along a single panel dimension, the estimator is asymptotically unbiased; (ii) when they vary along two panel dimensions, the estimator suffers from a severe inference problem characterized by a degenerate asymptotic distribution. We resolve the latter by deriving explicit bias formulas and proposing analytically debiased estimators with nondegenerate, correctly centered asymptotic distributions. An empirical application studies dynamic network formation in a directed panel of bilateral trade relationships.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_18678
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle (Debiased) Inference for Fixed Effects Estimators with Three-Dimensional Panel and Network Data
Czarnowske, Daniel
Stammann, Amrei
Econometrics
Inference for fixed effects estimators is often unreliable due to Nickell- and incidental parameter biases. While these issues are well understood for classical two-dimensional panels, little is known about three-dimensional panel structures (e.g., sender x receiver x time). We develop inferential theory for a broad class of linear and nonlinear fixed effects M-estimators in this setting, covering bipartite, directed, and undirected network panel data, multiple specifications of additively separable unobserved effects, and both strictly exogenous and predetermined regressors. Our analysis reveals fundamentally different asymptotic properties compared to two-dimensional panels. In particular, we find a sharp dichotomy across specifications: (i) when unobserved effects vary along a single panel dimension, the estimator is asymptotically unbiased; (ii) when they vary along two panel dimensions, the estimator suffers from a severe inference problem characterized by a degenerate asymptotic distribution. We resolve the latter by deriving explicit bias formulas and proposing analytically debiased estimators with nondegenerate, correctly centered asymptotic distributions. An empirical application studies dynamic network formation in a directed panel of bilateral trade relationships.
title (Debiased) Inference for Fixed Effects Estimators with Three-Dimensional Panel and Network Data
topic Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.18678