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Main Authors: Einmahl, John H. J., Kojevnikov, Denis, Werker, Bas J. M.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19641
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author Einmahl, John H. J.
Kojevnikov, Denis
Werker, Bas J. M.
author_facet Einmahl, John H. J.
Kojevnikov, Denis
Werker, Bas J. M.
contents We wish to test whether a real-valued variable $Z$ has explanatory power, in addition to a multivariate variable $X$, for a binary variable $Y$. Thus, we are interested in testing the hypothesis $\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X,Z)=\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X)$, based on $n$ i.i.d.\ copies of $(X,Y,Z)$. In order to avoid the curse of dimensionality, we follow the common approach of assuming that the dependence of both $Y$ and $Z$ on $X$ is through a single-index $X^\topβ$ only. Splitting the sample on both $Y$-values, we construct a two-sample empirical process of transformed $Z$-variables, after splitting the $X$-space into parallel strips. Studying this two-sample empirical process is challenging: it does not converge weakly to a standard Brownian bridge, but after an appropriate normalization it does. We use this result to construct distribution-free tests.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_19641
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Testing for Conditional Independence in Binary Single-Index Models
Einmahl, John H. J.
Kojevnikov, Denis
Werker, Bas J. M.
Methodology
We wish to test whether a real-valued variable $Z$ has explanatory power, in addition to a multivariate variable $X$, for a binary variable $Y$. Thus, we are interested in testing the hypothesis $\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X,Z)=\mathbb{P}(Y=1\, | \, X)$, based on $n$ i.i.d.\ copies of $(X,Y,Z)$. In order to avoid the curse of dimensionality, we follow the common approach of assuming that the dependence of both $Y$ and $Z$ on $X$ is through a single-index $X^\topβ$ only. Splitting the sample on both $Y$-values, we construct a two-sample empirical process of transformed $Z$-variables, after splitting the $X$-space into parallel strips. Studying this two-sample empirical process is challenging: it does not converge weakly to a standard Brownian bridge, but after an appropriate normalization it does. We use this result to construct distribution-free tests.
title Testing for Conditional Independence in Binary Single-Index Models
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.19641