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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Burger, Christopher
Format: Preprint
Published: 2025
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.23602
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author Burger, Christopher
author_facet Burger, Christopher
contents Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This paper introduces a hybrid framework that enhances SPC by integrating the distribution free, model agnostic guarantees of Conformal Prediction. We propose two novel applications: Conformal-Enhanced Control Charts, which visualize process uncertainty and enable proactive signals like 'uncertainty spikes', and Conformal-Enhanced Process Monitoring, which reframes multivariate control as a formal anomaly detection problem using an intuitive p-value chart. Our framework provides a more robust and statistically rigorous approach to quality control while maintaining the interpretability and ease of use of classic methods.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2512_23602
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Distribution-Free Process Monitoring with Conformal Prediction
Burger, Christopher
Machine Learning
Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This paper introduces a hybrid framework that enhances SPC by integrating the distribution free, model agnostic guarantees of Conformal Prediction. We propose two novel applications: Conformal-Enhanced Control Charts, which visualize process uncertainty and enable proactive signals like 'uncertainty spikes', and Conformal-Enhanced Process Monitoring, which reframes multivariate control as a formal anomaly detection problem using an intuitive p-value chart. Our framework provides a more robust and statistically rigorous approach to quality control while maintaining the interpretability and ease of use of classic methods.
title Distribution-Free Process Monitoring with Conformal Prediction
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.23602