Second Thoughts: How 1-second subslots transform CEX-DEX Arbitrage on Ethereum

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Adadurov, Aleksei, Barseghyan, Sergey, Chtepine, Anton, Eloranta, Antero, Sebyakin, Andrei, Valitov, Arsenii
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2026
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author Adadurov, Aleksei
Barseghyan, Sergey
Chtepine, Anton
Eloranta, Antero
Sebyakin, Andrei
Valitov, Arsenii
author_facet Adadurov, Aleksei
Barseghyan, Sergey
Chtepine, Anton
Eloranta, Antero
Sebyakin, Andrei
Valitov, Arsenii
contents This paper examines the impact of reducing Ethereum slot time on decentralized exchange activity, with a focus on CEX-DEX arbitrage behavior. We develop a trading model where the agent's DEX transaction is not guaranteed to land, and the agent explicitly accounts for this execution risk when deciding whether to pursue arbitrage opportunities. We compare agent behavior under Ethereum's default 12-second slot time environment with a faster regime that offers 1-second subslot execution. The simulations, calibrated to Binance and Uniswap v3 data from July to September 2025, show that faster slot times increase arbitrage transaction count by 535% and trading volume by 203% on average. The increase in CEX-DEX arbitrage activity under 1-second subslots is driven by the reduction in variance of both successful and failed trade outcomes, increasing the risk-adjusted returns and making CEX-DEX arbitrage more appealing.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_00738
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Second Thoughts: How 1-second subslots transform CEX-DEX Arbitrage on Ethereum
Adadurov, Aleksei
Barseghyan, Sergey
Chtepine, Anton
Eloranta, Antero
Sebyakin, Andrei
Valitov, Arsenii
Trading and Market Microstructure
Computational Finance
This paper examines the impact of reducing Ethereum slot time on decentralized exchange activity, with a focus on CEX-DEX arbitrage behavior. We develop a trading model where the agent's DEX transaction is not guaranteed to land, and the agent explicitly accounts for this execution risk when deciding whether to pursue arbitrage opportunities. We compare agent behavior under Ethereum's default 12-second slot time environment with a faster regime that offers 1-second subslot execution. The simulations, calibrated to Binance and Uniswap v3 data from July to September 2025, show that faster slot times increase arbitrage transaction count by 535% and trading volume by 203% on average. The increase in CEX-DEX arbitrage activity under 1-second subslots is driven by the reduction in variance of both successful and failed trade outcomes, increasing the risk-adjusted returns and making CEX-DEX arbitrage more appealing.
title Second Thoughts: How 1-second subslots transform CEX-DEX Arbitrage on Ethereum
topic Trading and Market Microstructure
Computational Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.00738