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Hauptverfasser: Lemay, Xavier, Bastin, Fabian
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2025
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Online-Zugang:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.00875
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author Lemay, Xavier
Bastin, Fabian
author_facet Lemay, Xavier
Bastin, Fabian
contents We investigate the factors contributing to departure and arrival delays at a major international airport and develop predictive models to estimate both the likelihood and duration of delays. Using logistic regression, random forest, and gradient boosting methods, we identify key predictors of flight punctuality, including historical delay rates of flight numbers and airlines, weather conditions, runway traffic, walk time from security to gate, and overall airport congestion. Our models achieve strong inference and predictive performance in both classification and regression tasks, demonstrating the potential for targeted operational interventions to improve on-time performance and providing actionable insights for airport management and airline operations.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_00875
institution arXiv
publishDate 2025
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Prediction of airport on-time performance
Lemay, Xavier
Bastin, Fabian
Physics and Society
62P25
We investigate the factors contributing to departure and arrival delays at a major international airport and develop predictive models to estimate both the likelihood and duration of delays. Using logistic regression, random forest, and gradient boosting methods, we identify key predictors of flight punctuality, including historical delay rates of flight numbers and airlines, weather conditions, runway traffic, walk time from security to gate, and overall airport congestion. Our models achieve strong inference and predictive performance in both classification and regression tasks, demonstrating the potential for targeted operational interventions to improve on-time performance and providing actionable insights for airport management and airline operations.
title Prediction of airport on-time performance
topic Physics and Society
62P25
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.00875