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Main Authors: Chen, Yen-Chia, Pao, Hsing-Kuo, Huang, Hanjuan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.01383
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author Chen, Yen-Chia
Pao, Hsing-Kuo
Huang, Hanjuan
author_facet Chen, Yen-Chia
Pao, Hsing-Kuo
Huang, Hanjuan
contents Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure is time-consuming, resource-intensive, and difficult to automate. While previous work has explored performance prediction using partial training or complex simulations, these methods often require significant computational overhead or lack generalizability. In this work, we propose an alternative approach: a lightweight, two-stage framework that can estimate model performance before training given the understanding of the dataset and the focused deep model structures. The first stage predicts a baseline based on the analysis of some measurable properties of the dataset, while the second stage adjusts the estimation with additional information on the model's architectural and hyperparameter details. The setup allows the framework to generalize across datasets and model types. Moreover, we find that some of the underlying features used for prediction - such as dataset variance - can offer practical guidance for model selection, and can serve as early indicators of data quality. As a result, the framework can be used not only to forecast model performance, but also to guide architecture choices, inform necessary preprocessing procedures, and detect potentially problematic datasets before training begins.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_01383
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Data Complexity-aware Deep Model Performance Forecasting
Chen, Yen-Chia
Pao, Hsing-Kuo
Huang, Hanjuan
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure is time-consuming, resource-intensive, and difficult to automate. While previous work has explored performance prediction using partial training or complex simulations, these methods often require significant computational overhead or lack generalizability. In this work, we propose an alternative approach: a lightweight, two-stage framework that can estimate model performance before training given the understanding of the dataset and the focused deep model structures. The first stage predicts a baseline based on the analysis of some measurable properties of the dataset, while the second stage adjusts the estimation with additional information on the model's architectural and hyperparameter details. The setup allows the framework to generalize across datasets and model types. Moreover, we find that some of the underlying features used for prediction - such as dataset variance - can offer practical guidance for model selection, and can serve as early indicators of data quality. As a result, the framework can be used not only to forecast model performance, but also to guide architecture choices, inform necessary preprocessing procedures, and detect potentially problematic datasets before training begins.
title Data Complexity-aware Deep Model Performance Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.01383