Utilizing Earth Foundation Models to Enhance the Simulation Performance of Hydrological Models with AlphaEarth Embeddings

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Qu, Pengfei, Ouyang, Wenyu, Zhang, Chi, Chai, Yikai, Xu, Shuolong, Ye, Lei, Piao, Yongri, Zhang, Miao, Lu, Huchuan
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2026
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author Qu, Pengfei
Ouyang, Wenyu
Zhang, Chi
Chai, Yikai
Xu, Shuolong
Ye, Lei
Piao, Yongri
Zhang, Miao
Lu, Huchuan
author_facet Qu, Pengfei
Ouyang, Wenyu
Zhang, Chi
Chai, Yikai
Xu, Shuolong
Ye, Lei
Piao, Yongri
Zhang, Miao
Lu, Huchuan
contents Predicting river flow in places without streamflow records is challenging because basins respond differently to climate, terrain, vegetation, and soils. Traditional basin attributes describe some of these differences, but they cannot fully represent the complexity of natural environments. This study examines whether AlphaEarth Foundation embeddings, which are learned from large collections of satellite images rather than designed by experts, offer a more informative way to describe basin characteristics. These embeddings summarize patterns in vegetation, land surface properties, and long-term environmental dynamics. We find that models using them achieve higher accuracy when predicting flows in basins not used for training, suggesting that they capture key physical differences more effectively than traditional attributes. We further investigate how selecting appropriate donor basins influences prediction in ungauged regions. Similarity based on the embeddings helps identify basins with comparable environmental and hydrological behavior, improving performance, whereas adding many dissimilar basins can reduce accuracy. The results show that satellite-informed environmental representations can strengthen hydrological forecasting and support the development of models that adapt more easily to different landscapes.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_01558
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Utilizing Earth Foundation Models to Enhance the Simulation Performance of Hydrological Models with AlphaEarth Embeddings
Qu, Pengfei
Ouyang, Wenyu
Zhang, Chi
Chai, Yikai
Xu, Shuolong
Ye, Lei
Piao, Yongri
Zhang, Miao
Lu, Huchuan
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Predicting river flow in places without streamflow records is challenging because basins respond differently to climate, terrain, vegetation, and soils. Traditional basin attributes describe some of these differences, but they cannot fully represent the complexity of natural environments. This study examines whether AlphaEarth Foundation embeddings, which are learned from large collections of satellite images rather than designed by experts, offer a more informative way to describe basin characteristics. These embeddings summarize patterns in vegetation, land surface properties, and long-term environmental dynamics. We find that models using them achieve higher accuracy when predicting flows in basins not used for training, suggesting that they capture key physical differences more effectively than traditional attributes. We further investigate how selecting appropriate donor basins influences prediction in ungauged regions. Similarity based on the embeddings helps identify basins with comparable environmental and hydrological behavior, improving performance, whereas adding many dissimilar basins can reduce accuracy. The results show that satellite-informed environmental representations can strengthen hydrological forecasting and support the development of models that adapt more easily to different landscapes.
title Utilizing Earth Foundation Models to Enhance the Simulation Performance of Hydrological Models with AlphaEarth Embeddings
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.01558