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Main Authors: Luo, Beier, Wang, Cheng, Wei, Hongxin, Li, Sharon, Du, Xuefeng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.04277
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author Luo, Beier
Wang, Cheng
Wei, Hongxin
Li, Sharon
Du, Xuefeng
author_facet Luo, Beier
Wang, Cheng
Wei, Hongxin
Li, Sharon
Du, Xuefeng
contents Post-training improves large language models (LLMs) but often worsens confidence calibration, leading to systematic overconfidence. Recent unsupervised post-hoc methods for post-trained LMs (PoLMs) mitigate this by aligning PoLM confidence to that of well-calibrated pre-trained counterparts. However, framing calibration as static output-distribution matching overlooks the inference-time dynamics introduced by post-training. In particular, we show that calibration errors arise from two regimes: (i) confidence drift, where final confidence inflates despite largely consistent intermediate decision processes, and (ii) process drift, where intermediate inference pathways diverge. Guided by this diagnosis, we propose Dual-Align, an unsupervised post-hoc framework for dual alignment in confidence calibration. Dual-Align performs confidence alignment to correct confidence drift via final-distribution matching, and introduces process alignment to address process drift by locating the layer where trajectories diverge and realigning the stability of subsequent inference. This dual strategy learns a single temperature parameter that corrects both drift types without sacrificing post-training performance gains. Experiments show consistent improvements over baselines, reducing calibration errors and approaching a supervised oracle.
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spellingShingle Unlocking the Pre-Trained Model as a Dual-Alignment Calibrator for Post-Trained LLMs
Luo, Beier
Wang, Cheng
Wei, Hongxin
Li, Sharon
Du, Xuefeng
Machine Learning
Post-training improves large language models (LLMs) but often worsens confidence calibration, leading to systematic overconfidence. Recent unsupervised post-hoc methods for post-trained LMs (PoLMs) mitigate this by aligning PoLM confidence to that of well-calibrated pre-trained counterparts. However, framing calibration as static output-distribution matching overlooks the inference-time dynamics introduced by post-training. In particular, we show that calibration errors arise from two regimes: (i) confidence drift, where final confidence inflates despite largely consistent intermediate decision processes, and (ii) process drift, where intermediate inference pathways diverge. Guided by this diagnosis, we propose Dual-Align, an unsupervised post-hoc framework for dual alignment in confidence calibration. Dual-Align performs confidence alignment to correct confidence drift via final-distribution matching, and introduces process alignment to address process drift by locating the layer where trajectories diverge and realigning the stability of subsequent inference. This dual strategy learns a single temperature parameter that corrects both drift types without sacrificing post-training performance gains. Experiments show consistent improvements over baselines, reducing calibration errors and approaching a supervised oracle.
title Unlocking the Pre-Trained Model as a Dual-Alignment Calibrator for Post-Trained LLMs
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.04277