A new method for augmenting short time series, with application to pain events in sickle cell disease

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Utkarsh, Kumar, Shah, Nirmish R., Banerjee, Tanvi, Abrams, Daniel M.
Format: Preprint
Published: 2026
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author Utkarsh, Kumar
Shah, Nirmish R.
Banerjee, Tanvi
Abrams, Daniel M.
author_facet Utkarsh, Kumar
Shah, Nirmish R.
Banerjee, Tanvi
Abrams, Daniel M.
contents Researchers across different fields, including but not limited to ecology, biology, and healthcare, often face the challenge of sparse data. Such sparsity can lead to uncertainties, estimation difficulties, and potential biases in modeling. Here we introduce a novel data augmentation method that combines multiple sparse time series datasets when they share similar statistical properties, thereby improving parameter estimation and model selection reliability. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach through validation studies comparing Hawkes and Poisson processes, followed by application to subjective pain dynamics in patients with sickle cell disease (SCD), a condition affecting millions worldwide, particularly those of African, Mediterranean, Middle Eastern, and Indian descent.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2601_04538
institution arXiv
publishDate 2026
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A new method for augmenting short time series, with application to pain events in sickle cell disease
Utkarsh, Kumar
Shah, Nirmish R.
Banerjee, Tanvi
Abrams, Daniel M.
Methodology
Applications
Researchers across different fields, including but not limited to ecology, biology, and healthcare, often face the challenge of sparse data. Such sparsity can lead to uncertainties, estimation difficulties, and potential biases in modeling. Here we introduce a novel data augmentation method that combines multiple sparse time series datasets when they share similar statistical properties, thereby improving parameter estimation and model selection reliability. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this approach through validation studies comparing Hawkes and Poisson processes, followed by application to subjective pain dynamics in patients with sickle cell disease (SCD), a condition affecting millions worldwide, particularly those of African, Mediterranean, Middle Eastern, and Indian descent.
title A new method for augmenting short time series, with application to pain events in sickle cell disease
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.04538